Analytics
Yes is at 3.3%, down 9.3 points from 12.5% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
The high was 33.5% on 30 Nov 2025 and the low 2.9% on 1 Jul 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3.6%; a month ago, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 29.5% on 19 Nov 2025.
$17.48K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $117.12, with a 2.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 493 trades, $570.43 bought Yes and $4.61K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Firsthand-Marsh with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is imakebigbets with 2.8K. Ten wallets hold 80.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 87 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 7:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 306 points · 13 Nov 2025 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 12.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 3.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| imakebigbets | No | 2.8K |
| Firsthand-Marsh | Yes | 1.19K |
| eNakeVets | Yes | 824.4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/musk-out-as-tesla-ceo-before-2027
| LatinaConqueror |
| No |
| 423.69 |
| zommarb | Yes | 282 |
| audible | Yes | 258.12 |
| anson95 | No | 200 |
| QJC | Yes | 190.89 |
| luoislele | Yes | 127.11 |
| october10 | No | 116 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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