Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 454.88 | $0.840 | $429.86 | +$47.66 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 19.7 | $0.660 | $13 | 14d ago |
|
| No |
| 423.69 |
| $0.927 |
| $401.02 |
| +$8.03 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 309.89 | $0.903 | $295.79 | +$15.79 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 350 | $0.944 | $288.93 | -$41.62 |
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | No | 263.74 | $0.859 | $238.69 | +$12.05 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 250 | $0.916 | $195 | -$34.1 |
 Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.956 | $193.7 | +$2.5 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.924 | $192.4 | +$7.6 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.930 | $189 | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.820 | $177 | +$13 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 199.52 | $0.746 | $146.75 | -$2.05 |
 Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 131.3 | $0.928 | $124.08 | +$2.28 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 127.66 | $0.940 | $120.64 | +$0.64 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 109.7 | $0.911 | $104.27 | +$4.27 |
 Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 101.05 | $0.950 | $99.33 | +$3.33 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | No | 100 | $0.976 | $98.95 | +$1.35 |
 Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.961 | $98.7 | +$2.6 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.929 | $98.4 | +$5.5 |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 104.77 | $0.955 | $98.06 | -$1.94 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.953 | $97.75 | +$2.45 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.968 | $97.7 | +$0.9 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 299.99 | $0.350 | $97.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.965 | $97.25 | +$0.75 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $96.85 | +$6.85 |
| buy |
| 120.48 |
| $0.830 |
| $100 |
| 18d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 125.45 | $0.550 | $69 | 25d ago |
 Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open?No | buy | 103.34 | $0.968 | $100 | 26d ago |
| Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?No | buy | 103.41 | $0.967 | $100 | 26d ago |
| Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 104.77 | $0.955 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 101.05 | $0.950 | $96 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 90.43 | $0.940 | $85 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 109.7 | $0.912 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 509.68 | $0.981 | $500 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 127.66 | $0.940 | $120 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsYes | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 122.43 | $0.408 | $50 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 99.87 | $0.390 | $39 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 307.69 | $0.975 | $300 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | buy | 175.95 | $0.194 | $34.17 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.670 | $5.36 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 600.07 | $0.410 | $246.03 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | May 30, 2026 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No | buy | 217.6 | $0.919 | $200 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 101.94 | $0.981 | $100 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.981 | $98.1 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.2 | $0.978 | $42.25 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.820 | $820 | May 19, 2026 |
 Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?No | buy | 101.14 | $0.989 | $100 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | buy | 102.45 | $0.976 | $100 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 700 | $0.300 | $210 | May 16, 2026 |
 Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia StarodubtsevaKatie Volynets | sell | 449.4 | $0.400 | $179.76 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.440 | $1.07 | May 9, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | May 6, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 101.83 | $0.982 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | May 4, 2026 |
 Another Elon baby by June 30?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?No | buy | 100.81 | $0.992 | $100 | May 4, 2026 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No | buy | 106.09 | $0.943 | $100 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 218.33 | $0.916 | $200 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 700 | $0.340 | $238 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | buy | 417.24 | $0.290 | $121 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | buy | 206.9 | $0.290 | $60 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | buy | 206.9 | $0.290 | $60 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 101.52 | $0.985 | $100 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 101.52 | $0.985 | $100 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 104.93 | $0.953 | $100 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 13.75 | $0.952 | $13.09 | Apr 30, 2026 |