Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 7 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 7 May 2026 to 23 May 2026, the highest close was 100% on 23 May 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 20 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 100% on 23 May 2026. $163.65K traded over the market's life.
163 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 24, 1:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 7 May 2026 – 23 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 May 2026 | 62.5% |
| 23 May 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MtnMark | No | 9.03K |
| troim | No | 3.5K |
| Bgf56 | No | 3.28K |
| HerrieDavis | No | 2.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-12
| Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | No | 1.99K |
| omnibus-00c8ef | No | 1.51K |
| Orderly-Stem | No | 1K |
| Confused-Corps | No | 1K |
| Inborn-Summer | No | 1K |
| bala512 | No | 1K |
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