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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 34.54K | $0.235 | $5.01K | -$3.11K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.140 | $286.75 | 18h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.65K |
| $0.376 |
| $674.6 |
| +$55.82 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 700 | $0.507 | $346.5 | -$8.5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 37.92K | $0.013 | $322.28 | -$163.64 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 1K | $0.320 | $265 | -$55 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.260 | $261 | -$50.62 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.331 | $242.25 | -$254.25 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.66K | $0.131 | $207.43 | -$9.51 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 680.95 | $0.344 | $187.26 | -$47.02 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | No | 197.87 | $0.907 | $186 | +$6.43 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | No | 542.73 | $0.204 | $165.53 | +$54.83 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? | No | 199.99 | $0.849 | $164.59 | -$5.2 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | No | 303 | $0.650 | $148.17 | -$48.78 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 120 | $0.834 | $104.34 | +$4.26 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | Yes | 522.49 | $0.152 | $68.45 | -$11 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? | No | 48 | $0.916 | $43.92 | -$0.05 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 110 | $0.920 | $37.4 | -$63.8 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | No | 884.04 | $0.180 | $37.13 | -$122 |
 Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.129 | $31.09 | -$122.83 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 151.06 | $0.397 | $22.66 | -$37.24 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 4.98K | $0.003 | $17.44 | +$2.49 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.280 | $13.5 | -$14.5 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.140 | $13.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.989 | $9.94 | +$0.05 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 8.34 | $0.720 | $7.26 | +$1.25 |
| buy |
| 110.49 |
| $0.540 |
| $59.66 |
| 18h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 645.37 | $0.370 | $238.79 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?No | buy | 199.99 | $0.849 | $169.79 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Yes | buy | 252.74 | $0.174 | $43.87 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Yes | buy | 123.84 | $0.145 | $17.97 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Yes | buy | 145.91 | $0.121 | $17.6 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 120 | $0.834 | $100.08 | 1d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?No | buy | 49 | $0.900 | $44.1 | 2d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?No | buy | 48 | $0.916 | $43.97 | 2d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Yes | sell | 173 | $0.085 | $14.76 | 2d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?No | buy | 148.87 | $0.910 | $135.47 | 2d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.698 | $34.9 | 2d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.082 | $6.56 | 2d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Yes | buy | 43.74 | $0.062 | $2.73 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.380 | $380 | 2d ago |
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.510 | $127.5 | 3d ago |
 FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 1.27K | $0.770 | $980.14 | 3d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 1K | $0.320 | $320 | 4d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.260 | $311.62 | 4d ago |
 US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas | sell | 900 | $0.730 | $657 | 4d ago |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas | buy | 1K | $0.420 | $420 | 4d ago |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas | buy | 200 | $0.390 | $78 | 4d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 500 | $0.510 | $255 | 5d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 4.98K | $0.003 | $14.95 | 5d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 180.95 | $0.300 | $54.29 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 330 | $0.940 | $310.23 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.971 | $79.62 | 6d ago |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby SamuelToby Samuel | sell | 7K | $0.070 | $490 | 6d ago |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby SamuelToby Samuel | buy | 5K | $0.140 | $700 | 6d ago |
| US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.970 | $194 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.03K | $0.974 | $1K | 6d ago |
| US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas | buy | 500 | $0.440 | $220 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 277 | $0.908 | $251.56 | 6d ago |
| US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas | buy | 500 | $0.690 | $345 | 6d ago |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby SamuelToby Samuel | buy | 3K | $0.299 | $897.53 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.110 | $14.3 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 231.96 | $0.070 | $16.24 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.850 | $34.85 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.69K | $0.870 | $2.34K | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 227 | $0.210 | $47.67 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 478.66 | $0.741 | $354.67 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.790 | $55.3 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.680 | $135.99 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.760 | $22.8 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | 7d ago |