Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 2.63K | $0.272 | $434.06 | -$280.88 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.069 | $34.5 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.4K |
| $0.186 |
| $203 |
| -$57.99 |
 Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 236.57 | $0.180 | $189.26 | +$146.68 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.185 | $163 | +$126 |
 Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by October 31? | Yes | 232.14 | $0.414 | $146.25 | +$50.08 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2.07K | $0.122 | $146.22 | -$106.86 |
 Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 1.8K | $0.137 | $140.4 | -$106.95 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 2.7K | $0.182 | $139.25 | -$354 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 2.45K | $0.137 | $134.75 | -$201.25 |
 Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by December 31? | Yes | 165 | $0.380 | $111.38 | +$48.68 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 118 | $0.300 | $86.73 | +$51.33 |
| Will India have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 131.18 | $0.222 | $59.69 | +$30.57 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | Yes | 2.1K | $0.043 | $57.68 | -$33.18 |
 Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 697.53 | $0.245 | $52.31 | -$118.37 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.079 | $32.36 | -$51.39 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 591.11 | $0.060 | $29.56 | -$5.91 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 700 | $0.086 | $26.95 | -$33.45 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 223.81 | $0.432 | $25.74 | -$71.03 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.96K | $0.070 | $24.51 | -$112.37 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 799.99 | $0.076 | $24 | -$37.09 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 423.73 | $0.115 | $23.31 | -$25.29 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | Yes | 400 | $0.100 | $22 | -$18 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.160 | $17.4 | -$30.6 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.113 | $17.25 | +$0.31 |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.130 | $17.25 | +$10.75 |
| buy |
| 600 |
| $0.069 |
| $41.4 |
| 4d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.069 | $34.5 | 4d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | 4d ago |
| Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.3 | $0.190 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 249.99 | $0.280 | $70 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 231.32 | $0.090 | $20.82 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 738.01 | $0.024 | $17.37 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.86 | $0.021 | $0.25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 204.99 | $0.055 | $11.23 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?No | sell | 400 | $0.292 | $116.85 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 500 | $0.600 | $299.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?No | buy | 47 | $0.250 | $11.75 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?No | buy | 49.9 | $0.240 | $11.98 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?No | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 16.05 | $0.990 | $15.89 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?Yes | buy | 10.08 | $0.600 | $6.05 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 147.18 | $0.420 | $61.82 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.190 | $66.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | sell | 318.37 | $0.296 | $94.11 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | sell | 500.56 | $0.400 | $200.22 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 42.01 | $0.487 | $20.45 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 50 | $0.487 | $24.37 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 24.99 | $0.490 | $12.25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 13 | $0.490 | $6.37 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | sell | 174.11 | $0.623 | $108.48 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | sell | 40 | $0.600 | $24 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | sell | 259 | $0.600 | $155.4 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | sell | 330 | $0.600 | $198 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 243 | $0.590 | $143.37 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 281.25 | $0.550 | $154.69 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 120 | $0.590 | $70.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 280 | $0.564 | $157.89 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 650.69 | $0.526 | $342.35 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.120 | $6.24 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.100 | $5.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.097 | $38.76 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.180 | $2.34 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.140 | $42 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 284 | $0.230 | $65.32 | Jul 17, 2026 |