Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 2.63K | $0.950 | $2.45K | -$43.37 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 171.22 | $0.034 | $5.81 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.16K |
| $0.670 |
| $648.58 |
| -$1.47K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 551.58 | $0.700 | $372.32 | -$13.79 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 426.61 | $0.380 | $151.45 | -$10.67 |
 Will Grüne win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 125.4 | $0.460 | $37.62 | -$20.06 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 208.33 | $0.140 | $21.87 | -$7.29 |
| sell |
| 205.96 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.76 |
| 1h ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes | sell | 16.78 | $0.340 | $5.71 | 18h ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5.98K | $0.450 | $2.69K | 1d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Yes | sell | 17.36 | $0.070 | $1.22 | 1d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.370 | $11.1 | 2d ago |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 2d ago |
 Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?No | sell | 47.82 | $0.120 | $5.74 | 2d ago |
| Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?No | sell | 181.98 | $0.130 | $23.66 | 2d ago |
 Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Yes | sell | 618.55 | $0.040 | $24.74 | 2d ago |
 Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?Yes | sell | 220.36 | $0.006 | $1.28 | 3d ago |
 Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?No | sell | 473.48 | $0.080 | $37.88 | 5d ago |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 1.09K | $0.941 | $1.03K | 5d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 55.25 | $0.188 | $10.39 | 5d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 220.1 | $0.189 | $41.6 | 5d ago |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 240.18 | $0.190 | $45.63 | 5d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.232 | $6.96 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | 6d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 7.06K | $0.110 | $776.54 | 9d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 7.06K | $0.110 | $776.54 | 9d ago |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.58K | $0.070 | $180.09 | 9d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.400 | $600 | 9d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the VA-04 House seat?Yes | sell | 251.71 | $0.021 | $5.29 | 10d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 44.95 | $0.120 | $5.39 | 10d ago |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 389.99 | $0.830 | $323.69 | 12d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 1.22K | $0.880 | $1.07K | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.24K | $0.051 | $265.03 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 498 | $0.120 | $59.76 | 14d ago |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?No | sell | 4.55 | $0.500 | $2.28 | 15d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the MN-02 House seat?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.069 | $2.76 | 16d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-04 House seat?Yes | sell | 716.45 | $0.022 | $15.76 | 16d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 264.83 | $0.890 | $235.7 | 16d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | sell | 106.2 | $0.090 | $9.56 | 16d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.94K | $0.456 | $4.07K | 17d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.77K | $0.190 | $336.7 | 18d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 358.45 | $0.160 | $57.35 | 21d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 947.71 | $0.170 | $161.11 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.09K | $0.300 | $927.83 | 22d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.09K | $0.080 | $247.42 | 22d ago |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 272.74 | $0.208 | $56.84 | 23d ago |
 Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?No | sell | 197.52 | $0.270 | $53.3 | 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 362.78 | $0.581 | $210.65 | 24d ago |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?Yes | sell | 240.05 | $0.050 | $12 | 25d ago |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 616.01 | $0.296 | $182.34 | 27d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 312.49 | $0.035 | $10.94 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.944 | $9.44 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 175 | $0.167 | $29.25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?No | sell | 208.33 | $0.014 | $2.96 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 206.18 | $0.023 | $4.74 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 127.08 | $0.667 | $84.7 | Aug 3, 2026 |