Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Name: Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

techActive

Closes Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

87.8%

12.2%

Yes costs 87.8¢No costs 12.2¢

24h Volume

$11.0K

Total volume

$180.6K

Liquidity

$12.2K

Closes

Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
poli.monaco	No	22.1K	30.5%	$6.58K	Oct 10, 3:30 PM UTC
obeymesubjects	Yes	15K	77.0%	$11.55K	Oct 10, 3:29 AM UTC
rewardbots	No	11.87K	14.2%	$1.65K	Oct 14, 10:22 PM UTC
WEN-ALPHA	No	11.26K	19.4%	$2.12K	Oct 14, 11:57 PM UTC
Contentious-Dinnerdate	Yes	9.85K	62.3%	$6.08K	Oct 14, 1:46 AM UTC
KiernanMeister	No	8.17K	13.4%	$1.06K	Oct 10, 1:26 AM UTC
Unsung-Patina-Bronze	Yes	7.83K	81.9%	$6.37K	Oct 14, 11:57 PM UTC
anoin123	No	6.39K	19.9%	$1.27K
thoodr	Yes	6.32K	92.9%	$5.87K
eCash	No	5.73K	36.7%	$2.1K
Serene-Broadcast	Yes	5.69K	77.4%	$4.37K	Oct 14, 5:30 PM UTC
Mac-Gyver	No	4.2K	7.0%	$281.14
troim	No	4K	15.6%	$622.99
Hakei.	No	3.33K	66.0%	$2.2K
dublyash2	Yes	3.32K	60.8%	$2K
Loathsome-Investigation	Yes	3.24K	89.8%	$2.9K
kl1v	Yes	3K	80.7%	$2.4K	Oct 13, 3:18 PM UTC
Bold Raven 8EFB	Yes	2.55K	87.5%	$2.22K
PARIS	Yes	1.93K	89.5%	$1.72K	Oct 14, 4:39 AM UTC
gmeowcl	Yes	1.88K	85.9%	$1.61K	Oct 15, 9:12 AM UTC
PiMaak	Yes	1.79K	68.5%	$1.21K	Oct 10, 3:48 PM UTC
variant1.meta	No	1.49K	15.1%	$216.54
Rumpelstiltskin	Yes	1.44K	77.3%	$1.1K	Oct 13, 2:44 PM UTC
dedidanc	Yes	1.4K	91.3%	$1.27K
Horrible-University	Yes	1.35K	74.3%	$993.49	Oct 13, 10:12 AM UTC
Petty-Disaster	Yes	1.32K	80.4%	$1.05K
gambler925	No	1.24K	26.3%	$325.76	Oct 10, 3:30 PM UTC
balthazar	Yes	1.19K	83.7%	$995.38	Oct 15, 9:26 AM UTC
JokerTheClown	Yes	1.13K	79.1%	$885.61	Oct 9, 1:19 PM UTC
chessplayer	No	1.01K	7.1%	$69.1	Oct 10, 3:04 PM UTC
Standard-Restructuring	Yes	1K	79.6%	$792.6	Oct 13, 4:35 PM UTC
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	950.43	88.7%	$842.82
ifyouloveme	Yes	925.03	57.0%	$522.17	Oct 10, 7:43 PM UTC
Haradwaith	Yes	785.86	86.0%	$675.49
Banditoes	Yes	703.55	81.3%	$571.46	Oct 14, 6:47 AM UTC
omsode	Yes	702.17	82.8%	$577.6	Oct 14, 3:26 AM UTC
kezgod	Yes	666.33	90.4%	$600	Oct 14, 7:58 AM UTC
Flamboyant-Passage	No	658.19	13.9%	$88.51	Oct 13, 1:52 PM UTC
lasson	No	575.86	19.2%	$107.11	Oct 15, 2:38 AM UTC
WunnaWun	Yes	539.38	83.5%	$447.53	Oct 13, 9:13 PM UTC
hahaha13	Yes	500	86.5%	$432.5
K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE	Yes	490	82.1%	$399.26	Oct 13, 5:25 PM UTC
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed	No	486.62	13.9%	$65.32	Oct 15, 4:02 AM UTC
CT-test	Yes	481.63	81.2%	$391.07
lisa67	No	454.28	4.3%	$19
flywheelpoly	Yes	450.39	87.6%	$394.35	Oct 15, 3:42 AM UTC
tradetosurvive1	No	450	26.7%	$120.21
Tallguy2527	No	422.19	20.9%	$88.1
Fair-Tan	No	411.03	18.1%	$74.37	Oct 14, 9:10 AM UTC
JanetMoulin	Yes	402.95	85.9%	$344.15	Oct 15, 9:09 AM UTC
RATHMA4	Yes	400	90.0%	$360
TinaGoat	Yes	363.26	86.6%	$312.77	Oct 14, 1:46 AM UTC
pykue	Yes	357.01	66.0%	$235.84
BattleOrders	Yes	316.04	77.1%	$239.94	Oct 13, 4:35 PM UTC
SET-229	No	300	6.9%	$20.07
StarMaster	Yes	300	72.6%	$215.44	Oct 13, 5:27 AM UTC
simulacrum3	Yes	299.99	82.3%	$246.79
jckc	Yes	292.06	89.4%	$260	Oct 14, 2:46 PM UTC
Lunar Summit 59A5	Yes	285.24	88.1%	$249.99
cat6767	Yes	273.37	85.0%	$232.36
maybebrian	No	253.71	20.2%	$50
abccbaq	No	252.92	17.6%	$43.8	Oct 13, 3:05 PM UTC
robert-mukhametov	Yes	239.43	52.9%	$125.83	Oct 11, 11:03 PM UTC
z1xus	Yes	234.52	89.8%	$209.62
lalajuv	Yes	229	87.5%	$199.23
Wasserturm	Yes	227.99	78.1%	$178.15
Amber Ledger 0FF6	No	225.42	11.5%	$25	Oct 14, 10:59 AM UTC
Emerald Oracle D7CD	No	221.65	23.1%	$50.65
parameter1	Yes	218.54	70.2%	$152.75	Oct 14, 6:56 AM UTC
Extra-Large-Fallacy	No	217.81	25.9%	$54.89	Oct 13, 10:11 AM UTC
Silver Signal 409F	Yes	200.88	79.6%	$158.6
Excellent-Kitchen	Yes	200.62	90.8%	$181.56
midfarm	No	200	9.4%	$18.8
melonmanm	Yes	200	83.6%	$166	Oct 13, 5:06 PM UTC
Dondigidin	Yes	200	79.5%	$159
sisiru	Yes	200	45.8%	$89.6
X-Rabbit.Sezu	No	200	10.6%	$21.2
nucleargulf	No	197.25	21.4%	$41.03
KimchiCapital	Yes	196	49.9%	$97.1
moneymakingmachine	Yes	194.22	83.9%	$161.85	Oct 14, 5:24 AM UTC
42021	Yes	193.73	80.8%	$156.49
Eager-Timbale	No	190	16.4%	$30.21
Nostrafakus	Yes	181.41	83.1%	$149.67	Oct 13, 4:45 PM UTC
Shameful-Refund	Yes	166.67	72.8%	$120	Oct 11, 10:05 PM UTC
SulkingCrypto	No	163.34	13.7%	$22.38	Oct 15, 9:12 AM UTC
crampedspirit	Yes	163.12	89.3%	$145
Golden Kestrel 6208	Yes	153.67	88.9%	$136.61
StillWater0	No	150	12.6%	$18.75	Oct 15, 3:45 AM UTC
hereandthere7	Yes	142.13	71.2%	$100
LornaPredicts	No	141.65	40.8%	$57.75
stanelyew	Yes	141.28	71.6%	$100	Oct 11, 3:58 AM UTC
Flamboyant-Warming	No	140.81	13.6%	$19.19
ghorrock	Yes	134.2	83.6%	$112.25
WhoseHouseRamsHouse	Yes	129.47	83.6%	$108.25
hadarhaddad	Yes	123.87	88.8%	$109.81	Oct 13, 5:17 PM UTC
big-bird1	Yes	122.65	81.3%	$98.92	Oct 14, 1:46 AM UTC
Cautious-Standing	Yes	118.98	84.6%	$100	Oct 15, 8:41 AM UTC
Webbed-Guitar-Greatgrandmother	Yes	116.34	69.0%	$79.25	Oct 10, 5:09 PM UTC
xiaojiren	Yes	113.34	88.3%	$99.62	Oct 14, 7:20 AM UTC
techhawk	Yes	108.63	56.2%	$60
chillyflix	Yes	104.8	50.6%	$52
Numitus1994	No	103.97	12.6%	$12.92	Oct 14, 10:46 PM UTC
mnshhhh	Yes	103.95	48.5%	$50.38
merrynew	Yes	101.96	52.5%	$52.53
predictdogepepewif	No	100.01	13.7%	$13.65
M2sx92kljs42	No	100	86.5%	$86
tongoG	Yes	100	82.9%	$82.9
PredictionPuppy	Yes	100	79.4%	$78.7	Oct 9, 7:18 AM UTC
CRYPTUSPUBLIC	Yes	100	85.6%	$85.6
ChoiceMeteor2520	Yes	100	84.2%	$84.2
seehi	Yes	100	76.7%	$76.7
omnibus-00c8ef	No	96.7	31.0%	$28.99	Oct 11, 3:57 AM UTC
soll2	Yes	95	85.7%	$81.25
Jeagerr	Yes	90.7	88.6%	$80	Oct 14, 1:02 AM UTC
charistas	Yes	80.7	83.6%	$66.98	Oct 15, 4:49 AM UTC
DJa	Yes	79.52	90.7%	$71.89
DorBlabla	No	74.63	7.0%	$5
edgehunter32	Yes	73.31	87.0%	$63.65	Oct 14, 6:04 AM UTC
AJSV	No	71.28	13.3%	$9.27	Oct 15, 9:12 AM UTC
printttt	Yes	70	80.7%	$56.07	Oct 13, 2:41 AM UTC
folioquant	Yes	70	87.3%	$60.78
smith-dom	No	67.57	30.4%	$20	Oct 11, 3:47 PM UTC
pootytherewardfarmer	No	66.6	24.3%	$16.16
user089	Yes	66.36	65.0%	$43.13
hushdev	Yes	63.29	95.0%	$60
AAA1110	No	61.46	15.0%	$9.22
Bossy-Impression	No	61.43	56.3%	$34
SickandTired	Yes	60	83.3%	$49.98
meagainsttheworld	Yes	57.47	87.5%	$50
Muffled-Drill	No	56.72	34.4%	$19	Oct 13, 9:49 AM UTC
nitraM1000	Yes	56.07	89.6%	$50	Oct 14, 4:37 PM UTC
Penooooo	No	55.78	30.7%	$16.85
Fond-Cave	No	55.56	18.6%	$10	Oct 15, 6:13 AM UTC
Wwx	Yes	55.56	82.0%	$45.56
lissartter	No	54.26	15.1%	$8.21
televisionloud	No	50.01	14.9%	$7.45
Malganis	No	50	23.2%	$11.6
wpovniweijfowjp	Yes	50	56.0%	$28
ahha	Yes	50	57.0%	$28
Affectionate-Monger	No	46.92	14.0%	$6.55	Oct 9, 5:20 PM UTC
0xChefMike	No	46.3	11.2%	$5	Oct 14, 10:16 AM UTC
Wiggly	No	44.62	10.4%	$4.5	Oct 11, 3:39 PM UTC
Misty Pioneer E34D	No	43.14	23.2%	$9.7	Oct 9, 7:30 PM UTC
jefftko	No	42.74	24.1%	$10	Oct 9, 7:31 AM UTC
4ts3hc	Yes	41.1	73.8%	$30
Slowbathroom	No	40	13.0%	$5.04	Oct 14, 12:08 PM UTC
Peaven	Yes	40	82.2%	$32.64	Oct 13, 6:37 PM UTC
cloverpmq2	No	39.75	36.0%	$14.31
zxcursed121	No	38.04	16.9%	$6.43
zxcursed121	Yes	38.03	86.7%	$32.97
pppnn	No	36.74	17.1%	$6.28
hping02	Yes	36.56	72.7%	$26.27	Oct 13, 5:27 AM UTC
sunnynotbunny	No	36.11	36.9%	$13
smartpreset	Yes	34.21	54.7%	$18.37
Attached-Vaulting	Yes	33.33	75.7%	$25
untoshi	Yes	33.15	89.4%	$29.5	Oct 15, 9:24 AM UTC
IgnoredInMostRooms	No	32.98	31.2%	$10	Oct 10, 3:44 PM UTC
cindy18	Yes	32.13	63.0%	$20.24
Asipbajrami	No	31.47	32.6%	$10	Oct 13, 11:52 AM UTC
tumenskiy	No	31.42	16.8%	$5.11	Oct 13, 12:45 AM UTC
42021	No	31.2	16.5%	$5.16
vravroum	Yes	30.66	93.2%	$28.48	Oct 14, 1:47 AM UTC
PPMT	No	30.05	14.5%	$4.36	Oct 12, 8:56 PM UTC
Fihdrzgdd	No	30	21.0%	$6.3
jovidalao	Yes	29.99	72.8%	$21.59	Oct 11, 10:58 PM UTC
oyunadahil	No	29.7	10.5%	$3
lissartter	Yes	29.57	83.2%	$24.61
sm-02	No	29.16	13.7%	$3.85	Oct 15, 9:32 AM UTC
Woeful-Owner	Yes	28.57	70.8%	$20
tox075	Yes	28.57	87.5%	$25
bethany76	Yes	28.36	74.0%	$20.99
marcustut	Yes	28	90.5%	$25.34
HerrieDavis	No	27.92	28.2%	$7.87
geylord20	Yes	27.44	73.7%	$20	Oct 11, 11:04 PM UTC
PPMT	Yes	26.06	86.5%	$22.54	Oct 10, 1:06 AM UTC
PizzaBoys	No	25	8.1%	$1.95	Oct 13, 9:42 AM UTC
Png19982026	Yes	24.93	80.6%	$19.95	Oct 14, 2:54 AM UTC
Miguel262144	No	22	22.0%	$4.84
GuyFromTinder	Yes	21.99	85.0%	$18.69
Ouuu-shi	No	21.39	13.3%	$2.76	Oct 14, 10:22 PM UTC
wildboar08	Yes	20.99	72.2%	$15
balthazar	No	20	13.9%	$2.68	Oct 15, 9:32 AM UTC
Villainous-Pug	No	20	28.8%	$5.76
Mojito9	No	20	5.0%	$1
Amber Tide 0434	Yes	20	70.5%	$14.1
Negligible-Republican	Yes	20	90.0%	$18
sunnn	Yes	20	56.0%	$11
timeistmoney	Yes	20	88.4%	$17.6
Earnest-Ambulance	Yes	17.65	85.5%	$15
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	17.6	83.7%	$14.73
DidYKH	Yes	17.58	85.8%	$15
aph7o	Yes	17.5	85.6%	$14.91	Oct 11, 12:58 AM UTC
RightNowNaNaNa	Yes	17	91.5%	$15.5	Oct 14, 8:29 AM UTC
bountyhunter001	No	15.99	10.7%	$1.71
riskmarketrbg	Yes	15.71	89.5%	$14	Oct 14, 3:39 PM UTC
Imaginative-Sonnet	No	15.35	23.5%	$3.5	Oct 10, 5:02 AM UTC
Parched-Domain	Yes	15.31	83.6%	$12.71	Oct 13, 9:02 PM UTC
Welcome-Heirloom	No	15.15	6.8%	$1
Elated-Salad	No	15.15	6.8%	$1
Kastellvalen	Yes	15	92.0%	$13.8
luisliu	No	14.27	13.7%	$1.89
Coral Signal 51F6	Yes	14	36.1%	$5.06
Pungent-Tanktop	Yes	13.78	65.9%	$8.96
Donttellyou	Yes	13.73	83.6%	$11.4	Oct 13, 5:09 PM UTC
Evtrahiy	Yes	12.15	82.9%	$10	Oct 15, 2:18 AM UTC
HatiHusky	Yes	12.01	73.6%	$8.74	Oct 11, 11:03 PM UTC
walkwithyourboy	Yes	11.66	64.9%	$7.46
mrphysicist	Yes	11.49	87.5%	$10
hgr1	Yes	11.2	89.6%	$10	Oct 14, 3:26 AM UTC
Made-Up-Plugin-Socialist	Yes	10.98	91.4%	$10	Oct 14, 1:46 AM UTC
netnose	Yes	10.88	60.0%	$6.42
Jakeagewhite	No	10.53	9.8%	$1
Calm-Raffle	No	10.1	10.3%	$1
coulee	Yes	10.07	89.3%	$8.95	Oct 14, 10:22 PM UTC
asdfsadfddd	No	10	11.8%	$1.18
adsfasdf113	No	10	14.2%	$1.42
ddd333aaa	No	10	11.0%	$1.1
lll981kd	No	10	19.7%	$1.97
SnowRazer	No	10	50.0%	$5
aaab341	No	10	19.4%	$1.94
asdfdd918	No	10	35.8%	$3.58
makermonke	No	10	24.8%	$2.48
67xxabcsdafasdf	No	10	36.3%	$3.63
aaabbasdfcc	No	10	11.9%	$1.19
aaab819d	No	10	12.2%	$1.22
ddadsf	No	10	14.0%	$1.4
aaadda	No	10	11.0%	$1.1
asdfasdf11	No	10	17.3%	$1.73
asdfasd11	Yes	10	84.5%	$8.45
H-273	Yes	10	71.8%	$7.1	Oct 11, 8:25 PM UTC
lll918dd	Yes	10	79.2%	$7.92
Crushing-Jeans	Yes	10	83.6%	$8.3	Oct 13, 4:56 PM UTC
ddd13421b	No	9.79	11.8%	$1.16
FAAHHH	No	9.43	11.0%	$1	Oct 14, 4:05 AM UTC
Glorious-Creator	Yes	9	72.0%	$6.48
Coral Ledger F7ED	Yes	8.95	79.7%	$7	Oct 13, 3:47 PM UTC
winexecutescale	Yes	8.79	56.2%	$4.94
asdfll1	No	8.66	23.6%	$2.04
zeck96xhf	Yes	8.51	73.7%	$6.24
kk8s118es	Yes	7.36	84.8%	$6.25
brabbit63	Yes	7.09	71.3%	$5	Oct 11, 1:35 AM UTC
Lunar Lynx 2BAD	Yes	6.76	74.1%	$4.96	Oct 13, 2:22 PM UTC
hackingthebettingmarkets	Yes	6.73	74.3%	$4.95	Oct 11, 11:04 PM UTC
Kastagir	No	6.41	16.1%	$1
Amber Signal E749	No	6.41	16.1%	$1
random-random123	No	6.41	16.1%	$1
Rapid Pioneer 2354	Yes	6.11	82.9%	$5	Oct 13, 5:42 PM UTC
ConsensusOfCredibleReporting	No	6.04	10.0%	$0.6
8dddj	No	5.92	11.3%	$0.67
Simple-Volume	Yes	5.88	52.0%	$3
Unequaled-Deployment	Yes	5.8	40.0%	$2.26
rplc-ftbl	Yes	5.67	83.6%	$4.71	Oct 13, 6:57 PM UTC
Coral Signal 7505	Yes	5.65	69.1%	$3.89
gendan12	Yes	5.52	58.0%	$3.2
xzheng	Yes	5.11	89.5%	$4.55	Oct 14, 3:27 AM UTC
asdfasdf111	No	5.09	8.9%	$0.45
123123..2	Yes	5.04	83.1%	$4.16	Oct 15, 2:38 AM UTC
lulu213	Yes	5.01	73.6%	$3.65	Oct 13, 12:42 PM UTC
hamid1919	Yes	5.01	88.4%	$4.41	Oct 14, 7:20 AM UTC
Possible-Alternative-Aluminum	No	5	45.2%	$2.26
Crimson Vector 775E	No	5	11.2%	$0.56
Stingy-Shoulder	No	5	51.0%	$2.55
Nardo99	Yes	5	81.1%	$4.05	Oct 13, 5:25 PM UTC
8tSnjSWgyo26Gxt	Yes	5	88.2%	$4.39	Oct 13, 10:16 PM UTC
sanguinius3	No	4.55	24.1%	$1.06	Oct 10, 1:25 AM UTC
Dead-Ball	Yes	3.8	79.7%	$3
sdafsafd	No	3.2	5.9%	$0.19
badmedicine	Yes	3.13	64.9%	$2
Virtuous-Pet	No	3.02	34.0%	$1	Oct 13, 8:11 AM UTC
dipanshu-971	Yes	2.98	68.1%	$2	Oct 13, 8:59 AM UTC
ogi250	Yes	2.49	81.3%	$2.01	Oct 13, 4:35 PM UTC
DontBeScared5	Yes	2.44	79.7%	$1.91	Oct 13, 5:04 AM UTC
MarcellusRex	Yes	2.3	87.5%	$2
asdfdd123	Yes	2.05	85.7%	$1.76
nonc	Yes	2	51.0%	$1
Affectionate-Monger	Yes	1.69	79.1%	$1.34	Oct 9, 2:28 PM UTC
hithitfar	Yes	1.69	88.8%	$1.49	Oct 14, 2:52 PM UTC
liamfenek	Yes	1.54	65.9%	$1
Solar Comet 49ED	Yes	1.45	81.0%	$1.16	Oct 13, 3:18 PM UTC
Coral Summit 6599	Yes	1.44	81.3%	$1.15	Oct 13, 3:18 PM UTC
alemania92	Yes	1.22	82.3%	$1	Oct 12, 10:19 PM UTC
NanoBanana2pro	No	1.09	11.2%	$0.12
Jeffreyalbeit	Yes	1.09	92.0%	$1	Oct 14, 2:01 AM UTC
gonnakilmyslf	No	1	25.3%	$0.25
JsonStatham	Yes	0.9	82.8%	$0.75	Oct 11, 11:03 PM UTC
a5533	Yes	0.69	52.0%	$0.36
KenneyG	No	0.67	19.1%	$0.13	Oct 11, 10:23 PM UTC
cmnd7w	No	0.64	13.3%	$0.08	Oct 14, 10:22 PM UTC
galhammerman	No	0.59	26.0%	$0.15
BAO95889	No	0.53	33.5%	$0.17
First-Otter	Yes	0.53	73.8%	$0.39
pogb	Yes	0.34	87.4%	$0.3
needleladder	No	0.32	18.2%	$0.06

293 of 293 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
obeymesubjects	$13.17K
Contentious-Dinnerdate	$8.65K
Unsung-Patina-Bronze	$6.87K

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