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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.24K | $0.267 | $179.23 | -$150.67 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 175.61 | $0.569 | $100 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 180 |
| $0.850 |
| $164.7 |
| +$11.7 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 156.25 | $0.640 | $155.23 | +$55.23 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 250 | $0.360 | $82.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 283.32 | $0.190 | $25.5 | -$28.33 |
| buy |
| 73.34 |
| $0.619 |
| $45.4 |
| 8d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 194.62 | $0.514 | $100 | 8d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | 11d ago |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?Yes | buy | 174.58 | $0.859 | $150 | 13d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.590 | $206.5 | 18d ago |
 Will "The Last House" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 184.09 | $0.815 | $150 | 19d ago |
 Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 359.86 | $0.834 | $300 | 19d ago |
 Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 206.58 | $0.726 | $150 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 606.06 | $0.330 | $200 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 129.38 | $0.386 | $50 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 230.34 | $0.434 | $100 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 365.85 | $0.041 | $15 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.130 | $50 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.220 | $55 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Yes | buy | 510.62 | $0.588 | $300 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No | sell | 225 | $0.001 | $0.23 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.45 | $0.420 | $23.29 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No | buy | 225.01 | $0.133 | $30 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 215 | $0.340 | $73.1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 264.15 | $0.530 | $140 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 332.63 | $0.376 | $125 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.11 | $0.320 | $26.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | buy | 115.96 | $0.431 | $50 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 161.06 | $0.671 | $108 | May 17, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.560 | $200 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.150 | $37.5 | May 7, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 311 | $0.320 | $99.47 | May 7, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?Yes | buy | 155.35 | $0.960 | $149.14 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Apr 8, 2026 |