Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election? | Yes | 5.13 | $0.850 | $4.89 | +$0.53 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.420 | $2.94 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 7 |
| $0.420 |
| $3.79 |
| +$0.85 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 3.63 | $0.320 | $2.3 | +$1.14 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 3.3 | $0.330 | $0.94 | -$0.15 |
 Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? | No | 0.29 | $0.430 | $0.04 | -$0.09 |
| buy |
| 2.23 |
| $0.480 |
| $1.07 |
| 4d ago |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?No | buy | 0.29 | $0.430 | $0.12 | 7d ago |
 Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.960 | $1.19 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.980 | $1.19 | 8d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 5.84 | $0.510 | $2.98 | 11d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.330 | $1.09 | 12d ago |
| Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.889 | $1.09 | 12d ago |
| Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.889 | $1.09 | 12d ago |
| Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.750 | $1.09 | 12d ago |
| Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.890 | $1.09 | 12d ago |
 Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.400 | $1.07 | 17d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 4.15 | $0.290 | $1.2 | 22d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 4.14 | $0.260 | $1.08 | 22d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.270 | $1.12 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.270 | $1.12 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 3.63 | $0.320 | $1.16 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.390 | $2.91 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 2.48 | $0.814 | $2.02 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.813 | $1.36 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 2.32 | $0.825 | $1.91 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.728 | $1.09 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.770 | $1.19 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.955 | $1.54 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.02 | $0.200 | $0.8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 4.35 | $0.933 | $4.06 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.59 | $0.070 | $0.32 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.680 | $3.56 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 5.62 | $0.007 | $0.04 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?No | sell | 8.49 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.971 | $1.25 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes | sell | 12.47 | $0.147 | $1.84 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 24.95 | $0.315 | $7.86 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.330 | $1.16 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETUp | buy | 1.66 | $0.650 | $1.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.917 | $1.19 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?No | buy | 828.21 | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.820 | $1.08 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.830 | $1.18 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.730 | $1.18 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.730 | $1.18 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?No | buy | 8.49 | $0.140 | $1.19 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 2.65 | $0.400 | $1.06 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.410 | $1.06 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 4.12 | $0.970 | $4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | sell | 14.22 | $0.302 | $4.3 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Jul 10, 2026 |