Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 60 | $0.593 | $33.9 | -$1.7 |
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| No |
| 50 |
| $0.450 |
| $22.25 |
| -$0.25 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? | Yes | 60 | $0.393 | $21.3 | -$2.3 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.870 | $17.1 | -$0.3 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 12% or more? | No | 20 | $0.860 | $16.7 | -$0.5 |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? | No | 26.13 | $0.668 | $16.59 | -$0.85 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.83% in September? | No | 20 | $0.860 | $16.1 | -$1.1 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | No | 20 | $0.870 | $15.9 | -$1.5 |
 Will Jessica Alba attend the US Open Finals? | No | 19.99 | $0.780 | $14.09 | -$1.5 |
 Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 50 | $0.320 | $13.75 | -$2.25 |
 Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | No | 20 | $0.720 | $13.7 | -$0.7 |
 Will Texas State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 20 | $0.650 | $13.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 20 | $0.620 | $12.3 | -$0.1 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $11.8 | -$3.2 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | No | 37.86 | $0.550 | $11.17 | -$9.65 |
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.36 | $0.500 | $8.16 | -$0.52 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000? | Yes | 55 | $0.347 | $7.78 | -$11.28 |
 Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.317 | $7.38 | -$5.3 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | No | 19.87 | $0.300 | $6.06 | +$0.1 |
 Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.330 | $5.8 | -$0.8 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more? | Yes | 50 | $0.363 | $5.68 | -$12.49 |
 Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September? | No | 11.17 | $0.650 | $5.64 | -$1.62 |
 Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election? | Yes | 39.93 | $0.190 | $5.39 | -$2.2 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 20 | $0.303 | $5.15 | -$0.91 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.056 | $5.05 | -$0.58 |