Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 641.73 | $0.621 | $620.23 | +$221.82 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | 19h ago |
 |
| No |
| 553.43 |
| $0.612 |
| $398.47 |
| +$59.79 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.371 | $232.55 | -$323.51 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.760 | $175 | +$23 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 240 | $0.676 | $166.8 | +$4.5 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 488.57 | $0.436 | $100.16 | -$112.93 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.751 | $81.79 | +$6.7 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 379.99 | $0.755 | $81.7 | -$205.07 |
 Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 200 | $0.400 | $72 | -$8 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 302.38 | $0.708 | $71.06 | -$143.03 |
 OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.872 | $58 | -$29.2 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 350 | $0.640 | $57.75 | -$166.22 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 180.64 | $0.493 | $56.9 | -$32.19 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 400.01 | $0.446 | $54 | -$124.25 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 215.27 | $0.574 | $52.74 | -$70.89 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 210 | $0.605 | $51.45 | -$75.55 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 100 | $0.592 | $42.5 | -$16.72 |
 Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.895 | $38.14 | +$2.34 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 371.22 | $0.145 | $35.27 | -$18.69 |
 Critical Discord Incident by September 30? | Yes | 150 | $0.370 | $35.25 | -$20.25 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | Yes | 250 | $0.582 | $32.5 | -$113 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.140 | $32.5 | -$37.5 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.366 | $29 | -$7.6 |
 Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | No | 40 | $0.750 | $27.8 | -$2.2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | Yes | 173.01 | $0.118 | $26.82 | +$6.4 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.770 |
| $38.5 |
| 4d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Oumar Sy | buy | 49.99 | $0.680 | $33.99 | 4d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)Kurtis Campbell | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | 4d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)Farés Ziam | buy | 30 | $0.600 | $18 | 4d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)Felipe Lima | buy | 30 | $0.650 | $19.5 | 4d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)Michael Page | buy | 30 | $0.650 | $19.5 | 4d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)Dan Hooker | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.102 | $10.2 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 99.98 | $0.150 | $15.01 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.204 | $20.41 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.370 | $46.62 | 5d ago |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.370 | $29.6 | 6d ago |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | 6d ago |
| Will Claude go down 14+ times in September?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | 6d ago |
| Critical Discord Incident by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 7d ago |
| Critical Discord Incident by September 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.350 | $52.5 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.094 | $4.7 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.770 | $38.5 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.751 | $75.09 | 7d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.420 | $12.6 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.510 | $20.4 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 79.17 | $0.127 | $10.09 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 93.84 | $0.110 | $10.32 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target Bahrain by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.25 | $0.840 | $48.93 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.880 | $35.2 | 7d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 299.99 | $0.005 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.82 | $0.390 | $32.69 | 8d ago |
 Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.59 | $0.080 | $2.37 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.870 | $34.8 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.4 | $0.109 | $3.96 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.976 | $39.04 | 9d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 255.98 | $0.002 | $0.51 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.190 | $32.49 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)Kai Asakura | buy | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas (Flyweight, Prelims)Rei Tsuruya | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)Bilal Hasan | buy | 30 | $0.870 | $26.1 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)Namsrai Batbayar | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Jingnan Xiong vs. Julia Polastri (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Jingnan Xiong | buy | 40 | $0.310 | $12.4 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Sean Woodson vs. Jack Jenkins (Featherweight, Prelims)Sean Woodson | buy | 40 | $0.580 | $23.2 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)Alex Perez | buy | 99.99 | $0.340 | $34 | 12d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)Yan Xiaonan | buy | 35 | $0.580 | $20.3 | 12d ago |