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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 85.73 | $0.465 | $29.58 | -$10.32 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | buy | 21.48 | $0.440 | $9.45 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| No |
| 23.8 |
| $0.843 |
| $19.87 |
| -$0.2 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.31 | $0.601 | $12.25 | -$0.56 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 22.65 | $0.474 | $10.31 | -$0.43 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 7.73 | $0.868 | $7.6 | +$0.89 |
Will SPD win between 13% and 16% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 24.07 | $0.360 | $6.74 | -$1.93 |
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.110 | $6 | -$0.6 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 9.68 | $0.530 | $5.37 | +$0.24 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 6.87 | $0.810 | $4.84 | -$0.72 |
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.770 | $4.58 | +$0.73 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | Yes | 4.83 | $0.720 | $4.56 | +$1.09 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.6 | $0.913 | $4.56 | +$0.36 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 4.71 | $0.889 | $4.4 | +$0.22 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 4.92 | $0.844 | $4.38 | +$0.23 |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.790 | $4.37 | +$0.42 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 4.96 | $0.708 | $4.34 | +$0.83 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 4.53 | $0.720 | $4.26 | +$1 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 4.71 | $0.886 | $4.14 | -$0.03 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4.77 | $0.715 | $4.08 | +$0.67 |
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? | No | 4.57 | $0.450 | $3.83 | +$1.78 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 4.53 | $0.822 | $3.83 | +$0.1 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.01 | $0.660 | $3.79 | +$1.14 |
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 3.69 | $0.837 | $3.69 | +$0.6 |
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 3.92 | $0.860 | $3.67 | +$0.3 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.51 | $0.758 | $3.28 | +$0.62 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes| buy |
| 10.02 |
| $0.410 |
| $4.11 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.02 | $0.410 | $4.11 | Jun 5, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | May 20, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.770 | $19.25 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.246 | $4.92 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.241 | $19.28 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.241 | $19.28 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.241 | $14.46 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No | buy | 20 | $0.462 | $9.24 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.265 | $1.59 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.271 | $1.36 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.16 | $0.280 | $7.32 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.281 | $19.67 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.281 | $19.67 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.396 | $1.98 | May 19, 2026 |
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.258 | $2.58 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.609 | $4.26 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.311 | $18.66 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.494 | $19.76 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.311 | $3.11 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.6 | $0.300 | $1.98 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | sell | 6.97 | $0.743 | $5.18 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | May 18, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.290 | $19.72 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.208 | $1.3 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.13 | $0.220 | $1.57 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.560 | $2.91 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.5 | $0.360 | $19.98 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.5 | $0.256 | $19.84 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.66 | $0.333 | $4.22 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.160 | $1.36 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.200 | $1.68 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.53 | $0.170 | $1.62 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.55 | $0.155 | $1.17 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.190 | $1.71 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.19 | $0.114 | $2.53 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.234 | $1.17 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.205 | $2.05 | May 16, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.754 | $3.91 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.494 | $19.76 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.494 | $19.76 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.506 | $5.06 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.494 | $2.47 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.494 | $2.47 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.495 | $19.8 | May 15, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.89 | $0.590 | $20 | May 15, 2026 |