Analytics
cat6767 has made $9.5K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | No | 3.34K | $0.598 | $2.62K | +$624.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 17:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
25 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 04:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 04:22 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 17:31 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $42.09K and losing ones cost $10.9K across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.65K on “Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)” (LYON); the largest loss, $3.22K on “Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 405 markets. Its open positions are worth $7.19K across 25 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.94K |
| $0.899 |
| $1.78K |
| +$31.17 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.810 | $746.25 | -$198.34 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 524.5 | $0.856 | $354.04 | -$94.92 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.41K | $0.485 | $282.69 | -$403.38 |
 Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 457.31 | $0.190 | $198.93 | +$112.04 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 507.43 | $0.096 | $164.91 | +$116.05 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.24K | $0.039 | $140.43 | -$103.88 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 996.75 | $0.148 | $139.55 | -$8.16 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 28, 2026 and January 3, 2027? | No | 132.17 | $0.930 | $126.88 | +$3.97 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 737.23 | $0.095 | $117.22 | +$46.92 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 273.37 | $0.850 | $97.73 | -$134.63 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 603.14 | $0.276 | $87.46 | -$79.25 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 59.23 | $0.700 | $51.83 | +$10.37 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 250.79 | $0.572 | $48.9 | -$94.44 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 47.19 | $0.875 | $46.65 | +$5.36 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026? | No | 45.75 | $0.820 | $38.66 | +$1.14 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | Yes | 142.8 | $0.318 | $33.56 | -$11.88 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? | Yes | 552 | $0.099 | $33.12 | -$21.43 |
| Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 60 | $0.613 | $23.1 | -$13.7 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.370 | $18.84 | +$11.45 |
 OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution? | OpenAI | 25 | $0.398 | $14.5 | +$4.55 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 21 and December 27, 2026? | No | 15 | $0.900 | $14.48 | +$0.98 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.54K | $0.040 | $4.61 | -$56.8 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T? | Yes | 68.65 | $0.012 | $2.47 | +$1.65 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
