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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5K | $0.500 | $2.51K | +$12.5 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
| No |
| 5K |
| $0.500 |
| $2.49K |
| -$12.5 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | No | 3.47K | $0.598 | $1.41K | -$670.44 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.910 | $948 | +$38 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 524.5 | $0.856 | $427.47 | -$21.49 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | No | 2.02K | $0.121 | $381.27 | +$137.08 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | Yes | 322.8 | $0.318 | $250.17 | +$147.45 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 996.75 | $0.148 | $244.2 | +$96.5 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.15K | $0.039 | $205.81 | -$152.23 |
 Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 507.31 | $0.190 | $109.07 | +$12.68 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 507.43 | $0.096 | $88.8 | +$39.93 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | No | 1.48K | $0.063 | $80.05 | -$13.26 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? | Yes | 552 | $0.099 | $63.48 | +$8.93 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 47.19 | $0.875 | $44.76 | +$3.47 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 50 | $0.650 | $40.25 | +$7.75 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 59.23 | $0.700 | $39.98 | -$1.48 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 258.86 | $0.043 | $12.81 | +$1.54 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | No | 65.93 | $0.090 | $8.57 | +$2.64 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.370 | $4.9 | -$2.5 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $2.68 | -$2.32 |
 Will SOOPers Challengers win LCK CL 2026? | Yes | 89.98 | $0.023 | $0.49 | -$1.57 |
 Will KT Rolster Challengers win LCK CL 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.022 | $0.13 | +$0.02 |