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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? | No | 46.84 | $0.854 | $46.61 | +$6.61 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 130.62 | $0.038 | $5 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 40 |
| $0.792 |
| $26.8 |
| -$4.9 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | No | 130.62 | $0.038 | $11.69 | +$6.69 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 20.49 | $0.244 | $3.19 | -$1.81 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.008 | $0.59 | -$0.46 |
| buy |
| 65.22 |
| $0.460 |
| $30 |
| 3d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.54 | $0.890 | $18.29 | 5d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | 5d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?No | buy | 46.84 | $0.854 | $40 | 5d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?No | buy | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | 5d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | 6d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 11, 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.022 | $0.82 | 11d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.023 | $0.87 | 11d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 40.5 | $0.025 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | 20d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?No | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | 21d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.090 | $2.34 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.71 | $0.775 | $30 | 22d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.180 | $5.4 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 34.56 | $0.579 | $20 | 26d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?No | sell | 51.3 | $0.190 | $9.75 | 29d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 51.28 | $0.905 | $46.39 | 29d ago |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.200 | $2.5 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 45.98 | $0.870 | $40 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.370 | $3.36 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?No | buy | 51.3 | $0.110 | $5.64 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.780 | $40 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.060 | $1.02 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 20.49 | $0.244 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.700 | $34.99 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.020 | $1.1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on August 5?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.274 | $3.51 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 248 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 41.58 | $0.962 | $40 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 163.38 | $0.002 | $0.33 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.29 | $0.013 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 93.47 | $0.070 | $6.54 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.234 | $3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 30.76 | $0.370 | $11.38 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.48 | $0.055 | $3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.017 | $1.02 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.105 | $4.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.029 | $5.71 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 0.8 | $0.949 | $0.76 | Jul 31, 2026 |