Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 650 | $0.789 | $555.75 | +$42.75 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 475 | $0.944 | $448.4 | 14h ago |
 |
| No |
| 540 |
| $0.930 |
| $528.66 |
| +$26.46 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 540 | $0.930 | $527.85 | +$25.65 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 540 | $0.932 | $521.91 | +$18.63 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 539.47 | $0.943 | $505.21 | -$3.53 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 515.99 | $0.787 | $436.01 | +$29.66 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 460 | $0.792 | $407.1 | +$42.9 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 310 | $0.810 | $301.01 | +$49.91 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 339.99 | $0.760 | $277.09 | +$18.7 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 310 | $0.800 | $271.25 | +$23.25 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 280 | $0.890 | $268.66 | +$19.46 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.900 | $232.5 | -$37.5 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 256 | $0.890 | $225.28 | -$2.56 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 250 | $0.820 | $216.25 | +$11.25 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 250 | $0.820 | $211.25 | +$6.25 |
 Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 244.15 | $0.867 | $208.75 | -$2.92 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.826 | $207.88 | +$1.38 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 220 | $0.930 | $203.5 | -$1.1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.740 | $202.5 | -$19.5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 239 | $0.853 | $202.43 | -$1.42 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 220 | $0.900 | $199.1 | +$1.1 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 220 | $0.920 | $195.91 | -$6.49 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.840 | $176.1 | -$75.9 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | No | 250 | $0.800 | $168.13 | -$31.88 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 240 | $0.620 | $162 | +$13.2 |
| buy |
| 150 |
| $0.790 |
| $118.5 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 64.47 | $0.936 | $60.34 | 2d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | 2d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 250 | $0.820 | $205 | 2d ago |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 170 | $0.870 | $147.9 | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 339.99 | $0.760 | $258.39 | 2d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.930 | $204.6 | 2d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 175.99 | $0.860 | $151.35 | 3d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 220 | $0.920 | $202.4 | 3d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 239 | $0.853 | $203.86 | 3d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 460 | $0.230 | $105.8 | 3d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.826 | $206.5 | 3d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 160 | $0.930 | $148.8 | 3d ago |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 54.07 | $0.860 | $46.5 | 3d ago |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No | buy | 120 | $0.890 | $106.8 | 3d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | 3d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 126 | $0.810 | $102.06 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 157.14 | $0.993 | $156.04 | 4d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | buy | 150 | $0.730 | $109.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.750 | $105 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 178 | $0.820 | $145.96 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | 7d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.200 | $60 | 8d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?Yes | buy | 530 | $0.190 | $100.7 | 8d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 400 | $0.510 | $204 | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.530 | $79.5 | 12d ago |
 Will Solana reach $120 in August?No | sell | 117.42 | $0.716 | $84.11 | 13d ago |
| Will Solana reach $120 in August?No | buy | 79.32 | $0.917 | $72.76 | 16d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 140 | $0.750 | $105 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 156.64 | $0.890 | $139.41 | 19d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Yes | sell | 460 | $0.700 | $322 | 21d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.790 | $252.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 230 | $0.870 | $200.1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Yes | buy | 460 | $0.220 | $101.2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Yes | buy | 460 | $0.230 | $105.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 340 | $0.720 | $244.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 159.99 | $0.900 | $143.99 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 170 | $0.835 | $141.95 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 109.99 | $0.910 | $100.09 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.968 | $193.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 170 | $0.710 | $120.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 230 | $0.301 | $69.15 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 350 | $0.400 | $140 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | buy | 280 | $0.890 | $249.2 | Jun 12, 2026 |