Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 101.96 | $0.515 | $56.59 | +$4.05 |
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | 8h ago |
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| No |
| 55 |
| $0.970 |
| $54.67 |
| +$1.32 |
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | No | 50 | $0.980 | $49.03 | +$0.03 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | No | 34 | $0.995 | $33.78 | -$0.05 |
GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.790 | $15.7 | -$0.1 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.34 | $0.880 | $7.3 | -$0.04 |
Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 0.23 | $0.998 | $0.23 | +$0 |
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 342.48 | $0.007 | $0.17 | -$2.23 |
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 80.24 | $0.003 | $0.04 | -$0.2 |
| buy |
| 8.34 |
| $0.880 |
| $7.34 |
| 8h ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.528 | $15.76 | 8h ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 72.11 | $0.510 | $36.78 | 8h ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?No | buy | 34 | $0.995 | $33.83 | 8h ago |
Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | sell | 22.77 | $0.999 | $22.75 | 8h ago |
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No | sell | 92.36 | $0.900 | $83.12 | 8h ago |
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?No | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.970 | $53.35 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 3.93K | $0.001 | $3.93 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 4.01K | $0.003 | $12.04 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | buy | 23 | $0.998 | $22.95 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No | buy | 92.36 | $0.730 | $67.42 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.981 | $51.99 | May 16, 2026 |
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.97 | $0.996 | $24.87 | May 16, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | buy | 99.75 | $0.969 | $96.66 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 8.22K | $0.006 | $49.32 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 8.56K | $0.007 | $59.93 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 24.8 | $0.897 | $22.25 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 7.4K | $0.003 | $22.19 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.34K | $0.008 | $18.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.34K | $0.006 | $14.06 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 11.06 | $0.995 | $11 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 30 | $0.938 | $28.14 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 43 | $0.993 | $42.7 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 60 | $0.969 | $58.14 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 4.26K | $0.007 | $29.83 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 4.26K | $0.008 | $34.09 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 35.9 | $0.975 | $35 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.710 | $39.05 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 101.21 | $0.790 | $79.96 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.820 | $45.1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.27K | $0.008 | $18.19 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.27K | $0.004 | $9.09 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.55K | $0.004 | $18.19 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?No | buy | 113 | $0.928 | $104.86 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 150 | $0.999 | $149.85 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 43 | $0.909 | $39.09 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 31 | $0.997 | $30.91 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?Yes | buy | 2.52K | $0.004 | $10.06 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 4.16K | $0.003 | $12.49 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 4.56K | $0.004 | $18.25 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.800 | $27.2 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 150 | $0.997 | $149.55 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 117 | $0.997 | $116.65 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.890 | $22.25 | Mar 6, 2025 |