Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 94.3 | $0.382 | $53.28 | +$17.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.200 | $1.02 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 54.96 |
| $0.601 |
| $39.29 |
| +$6.29 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 102.77 | $0.370 | $38.9 | +$0.9 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 68.22 | $0.234 | $27.63 | +$11.63 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 39.46 | $0.481 | $21.51 | +$2.5 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | No | 25.18 | $0.596 | $19.01 | +$4.01 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 77.36 | $0.297 | $18.95 | -$4.05 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 23.88 | $0.670 | $16.6 | +$0.6 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 58 | $0.345 | $15.95 | -$4.05 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 23.02 | $0.695 | $15.77 | -$0.23 |
 Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 22.58 | $0.620 | $15.24 | +$1.24 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | No | 40.87 | $0.612 | $14.92 | -$10.08 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 62.61 | $0.287 | $14.09 | -$3.91 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 28.26 | $0.460 | $13.99 | +$0.99 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 71.48 | $0.210 | $13.22 | -$1.78 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 51.1 | $0.176 | $11.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 26.3 | $0.494 | $10.78 | -$2.22 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 12 | $0.500 | $10.74 | +$4.74 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 11.82 | $0.677 | $10.58 | +$2.57 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 22.21 | $0.540 | $10.33 | -$1.68 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 11.44 | $0.700 | $10.23 | +$2.23 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 46.95 | $0.298 | $10.09 | -$3.91 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 36.42 | $0.247 | $10.02 | +$1.01 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 13.23 | $0.756 | $9.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections? | No | 13.54 | $0.600 | $9.81 | +$1.69 |
| buy |
| 3.57 |
| $0.350 |
| $1.25 |
| 2h ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | 2h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.350 | $1.02 | 2h ago |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | 2h ago |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.190 | $1.02 | 2h ago |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.986 | $5.66 | 3h ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 14 | $0.193 | $2.7 | 4h ago |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 5.92 | $0.250 | $1.48 | 4h ago |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.780 | $1.09 | 9h ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.680 | $4.69 | 9h ago |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.350 | $1.96 | 9h ago |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.470 | $1.37 | 9h ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.530 | $3.78 | 10h ago |
 Will Dplus Challengers win LCK CL 2026?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.640 | $1.34 | 10h ago |
| Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.320 | $1.28 | 10h ago |
| Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.520 | $2.8 | 10h ago |
| Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 10h ago |
 Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 12.96 | $0.171 | $2.22 | 10h ago |
 Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.300 | $1.38 | 11h ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.798 | $2.22 | 11h ago |
 Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.380 | $1.33 | 12h ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.150 | $3.9 | 13h ago |
| Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?No | sell | 3.13 | $0.650 | $2.03 | 13h ago |
 Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.630 | $1.34 | 14h ago |
| Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.600 | $0.6 | 14h ago |
| Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.600 | $0.6 | 14h ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.490 | $2.82 | 14h ago |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 11.37 | $0.190 | $2.16 | 14h ago |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 8.53 | $0.190 | $1.62 | 14h ago |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.92 | $0.740 | $6.6 | 14h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 24.1 | $0.620 | $14.94 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 14.52 | $0.620 | $9 | 14h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | buy | 5.98 | $0.500 | $2.99 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 25.85 | $0.380 | $9.82 | 15h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 16h ago |
 Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 16h ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 17h ago |
 Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Patriots | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | 17h ago |
| Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)Seahawks | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 17h ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksSeahawks | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 18h ago |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Patriots | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 21h ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksSeahawks | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | 21h ago |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Patriots | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 21h ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksSeahawks | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | 21h ago |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Patriots | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 21h ago |
| Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.390 | $0.53 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 5.44 | $0.420 | $2.28 | 21h ago |
 Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | 22h ago |
 Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 22h ago |