Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 401.69 | $0.670 | $295.24 | +$26.13 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 307.69 |
| $0.650 |
| $263.08 |
| +$63.08 |
| Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | Yes | 262.94 | $0.571 | $189.31 | +$39.15 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 210.21 | $0.625 | $186.03 | +$54.74 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 312.5 | $0.640 | $176.56 | -$23.44 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 166.67 | $0.600 | $144.17 | +$44.17 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 135.14 | $0.740 | $105.41 | +$5.41 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.271 | $103.93 | -$330.06 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 216.45 | $0.231 | $101.62 | +$51.62 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 96.16 | $0.520 | $78.37 | +$28.37 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.540 | $54.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 51.81 | $0.579 | $44.17 | +$14.17 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 51.72 | $0.580 | $27.16 | -$2.84 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.220 | $22.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19.65 | $0.509 | $16.34 | +$6.34 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 42.19 | $0.237 | $15.99 | +$5.99 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 163.36 | $0.031 | $9.96 | +$4.97 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 272.82 | $0.037 | $9.55 | -$0.45 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 130.56 | $0.230 | $8.49 | -$21.51 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 229.89 | $0.087 | $7.01 | -$12.99 |
 Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.190 | $6.08 | -$3.92 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 38.76 | $0.258 | $5.6 | -$4.4 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.090 | $4.17 | -$0.83 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $2.92 | -$2.08 |
 Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 909.09 | $0.011 | $1.36 | -$8.64 |
| sell |
| 96.15 |
| $0.730 |
| $70.19 |
| 3d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 108.7 | $0.410 | $44.57 | 3d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | sell | 110 | $0.890 | $97.9 | 3d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 307.69 | $0.130 | $40 | 3d ago |
| Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.570 | $50.16 | 3d ago |
| Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Yes | buy | 122.31 | $0.572 | $70 | 3d ago |
 Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 42.19 | $0.237 | $10 | 11d ago |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | 11d ago |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 163.36 | $0.031 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 272.82 | $0.037 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?No | sell | 27.77 | $0.917 | $25.47 | 11d ago |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 60.14 | $0.931 | $55.98 | 11d ago |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 5.62 | $0.933 | $5.24 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 108.69 | $0.430 | $46.74 | 11d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 150.18 | $0.660 | $99.12 | 11d ago |
 Will Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | 11d ago |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | 11d ago |
| Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.290 | $30 | 11d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | 11d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 128.2 | $0.540 | $69.23 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 243.9 | $0.560 | $136.58 | 11d ago |
 Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.660 | $40 | 12d ago |
 Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | 12d ago |
| FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Draw at halftime?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | 12d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | 12d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.640 | $200 | 12d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | 12d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | 12d ago |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 216.45 | $0.231 | $50 | 12d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | 12d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | sell | 153.84 | $0.977 | $150.3 | 12d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | 29d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 243.9 | $0.410 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 65.76 | $0.760 | $50 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 315.71 | $0.063 | $20 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 338.05 | $0.253 | $85.65 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.217 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No | buy | 119.23 | $0.168 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No | buy | 125.62 | $0.159 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |