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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 4.28 | $0.280 | $1.2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.009 |
| $1.8 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.58 | $0.014 | $0.32 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.059 | $11.8 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.140 | $84 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.017 | $10.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.021 | $10.92 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes | buy | 430 | $0.037 | $15.91 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.65 | $0.080 | $2.93 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.44K | $0.019 | $27.3 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.015 | $15 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.002 | $2.4 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.009 | $2.61 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 355 | $0.009 | $3.2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 355 | $0.072 | $25.56 | May 19, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.73 | $0.007 | $0.59 | May 18, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.021 | $21 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.032 | $45.98 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 146.37 | $0.007 | $1.02 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.011 | $11 | Apr 16, 2026 |