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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 87.84 | $0.090 | $24.16 | +$16.26 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 4h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 56.19 |
| $0.127 |
| $15.45 |
| +$8.32 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.220 | $13.63 | +$8.13 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 136.86 | $0.070 | $13 | +$3.42 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 57.48 | $0.157 | $12.65 | +$3.65 |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.730 | $9.4 | +$2.1 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 14 | $0.361 | $7.91 | +$2.85 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 20 | $0.320 | $7.9 | +$1.5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 9.12 | $0.730 | $7.52 | +$0.87 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.640 | $6.95 | +$0.55 |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | No | 10 | $0.700 | $6.9 | -$0.1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | No | 5.88 | $0.982 | $5.84 | +$0.07 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.89 | $0.890 | $5.66 | +$0.42 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 5.87 | $0.920 | $5.42 | +$0.02 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 5.68 | $0.800 | $4.91 | +$0.37 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.750 | $4.8 | +$1.05 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.740 | $4.62 | +$0.92 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 46.86 | $0.171 | $4.57 | -$3.43 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5.46 | $0.840 | $4.56 | -$0.03 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.790 | $4.45 | +$0.5 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 5 | $0.870 | $4.38 | +$0.03 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | Yes | 5 | $0.860 | $4.35 | +$0.05 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.760 | $4.28 | +$0.48 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.690 | $4.18 | +$0.73 |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.640 | $4.08 | +$0.88 |
| buy |
| 5.87 |
| $0.920 |
| $5.4 |
| 7h ago |
 Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp | buy | 8.53 | $0.550 | $4.69 | 7h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 9.44 | $0.530 | $5 | 9h ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 9.26 | $0.520 | $4.82 | 9h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | buy | 9.26 | $0.530 | $4.91 | 9h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETUp | buy | 8.93 | $0.530 | $4.73 | 10h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 8.93 | $0.550 | $4.91 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.26 | $0.530 | $4.91 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp | buy | 8.93 | $0.520 | $4.64 | 11h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | buy | 1.37 | $0.560 | $0.77 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 9.33 | $0.520 | $4.85 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp | buy | 8.93 | $0.510 | $4.55 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | buy | 9.44 | $0.520 | $4.91 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp | buy | 9.44 | $0.520 | $4.91 | 11h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp | buy | 9.1 | $0.550 | $5.01 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.26 | $0.530 | $4.91 | 12h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp | buy | 9.26 | $0.530 | $4.91 | 12h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETUp | buy | 5.68 | $0.550 | $3.12 | 12h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 9.1 | $0.540 | $4.91 | 12h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 9.26 | $0.530 | $4.91 | 12h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETUp | buy | 8.78 | $0.530 | $4.65 | 12h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETUp | buy | 8.97 | $0.520 | $4.66 | 12h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 8.97 | $0.520 | $4.66 | 13h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp | buy | 8.8 | $0.530 | $4.66 | 13h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | buy | 9.12 | $0.510 | $4.65 | 13h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 8.78 | $0.520 | $4.57 | 13h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETUp | buy | 8.97 | $0.520 | $4.66 | 13h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp | buy | 9.26 | $0.530 | $4.91 | 13h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 8.54 | $0.560 | $4.78 | 13h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp | buy | 8.54 | $0.560 | $4.78 | 13h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp | buy | 2.67 | $0.550 | $1.47 | 13h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp | buy | 8.75 | $0.430 | $3.76 | 13h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 8.7 | $0.550 | $4.79 | 14h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETUp | buy | 9.04 | $0.520 | $4.7 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETUp | buy | 9.06 | $0.520 | $4.71 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETUp | buy | 8.71 | $0.530 | $4.62 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 8.89 | $0.530 | $4.71 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp | buy | 9.06 | $0.510 | $4.62 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETUp | buy | 8.89 | $0.530 | $4.71 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp | buy | 9.44 | $0.520 | $4.91 | 17h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp | buy | 8.77 | $0.550 | $4.82 | 18h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp | buy | 9.06 | $0.520 | $4.71 | 19h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp | buy | 9.06 | $0.510 | $4.62 | 19h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETUp | buy | 9.25 | $0.510 | $4.72 | 20h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown | buy | 8.61 | $0.550 | $4.74 | 20h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.840 | $4.59 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.1 | $0.520 | $4.73 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 9.1 | $0.520 | $4.73 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp | buy | 9.26 | $0.530 | $4.91 | 1d ago |