Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.200 | $14.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.250 | $21 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 72 |
| $0.347 |
| $12.96 |
| -$12.04 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 84.21 | $0.237 | $10.53 | -$9.47 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 70.21 | $0.285 | $3.51 | -$16.49 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | Yes | 129.03 | $0.031 | $1.23 | -$2.77 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 30.48 | $0.164 | $0.52 | -$4.48 |
| buy |
| 65.28 |
| $0.153 |
| $10 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | buy | 129.03 | $0.031 | $4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.21 | $0.237 | $20 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.023 | $3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 62.11 | $0.161 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes | sell | 37.32 | $0.490 | $18.29 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | sell | 27.57 | $0.521 | $14.36 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.092 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.85 | $0.260 | $27 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 116.67 | $0.060 | $7 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.11 | $0.554 | $20 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.25 | $0.110 | $5.97 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.115 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 70.21 | $0.285 | $20 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 23.33 | $0.670 | $15.63 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 129.36 | $0.033 | $4.33 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 37.92 | $0.132 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 75.98 | $0.132 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 129.36 | $0.039 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 195.08 | $0.032 | $6.3 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.25 | $0.369 | $20 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 224.17 | $0.812 | $182.02 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.08 | $0.071 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.490 | $50 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.22 | $0.490 | $30 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.91 | $0.493 | $30 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 91.84 | $0.044 | $4 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 140.58 | $0.551 | $77.4 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.79K | $0.003 | $5.38 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes | buy | 36.18 | $0.260 | $9.41 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | buy | 27.57 | $0.363 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 34.79 | $0.029 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 26.02 | $0.269 | $7 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 23.33 | $0.300 | $7 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?No | buy | 100.6 | $0.099 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 140.59 | $0.164 | $23 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes | buy | 84.42 | $0.237 | $20 | Apr 7, 2026 |