Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | Yes | 72 | $0.313 | $68.29 | +$45.72 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arman Tsarukyan be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.999 | $6.99 | 5d ago |
| No |
| 59 |
| $0.246 |
| $52.81 |
| +$38.27 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026? | No | 62 | $0.560 | $47.46 | +$12.74 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? | No | 49 | $0.496 | $44.1 | +$19.81 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 88.1 | $0.367 | $43.61 | +$11.29 |
 Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 56 | $0.700 | $42.56 | +$3.36 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? | No | 44 | $0.719 | $41.45 | +$9.81 |
 UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | No | 41 | $0.835 | $39.22 | +$4.97 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? | No | 39 | $0.575 | $36.08 | +$13.65 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31? | No | 39.48 | $0.354 | $35.92 | +$21.96 |
 Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | No | 36 | $0.252 | $33.48 | +$24.41 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | No | 48.99 | $0.320 | $31.35 | +$15.68 |
 Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | No | 49 | $0.530 | $30.8 | +$4.83 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 38 | $0.475 | $30.59 | +$12.55 |
 Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 33 | $0.566 | $30.23 | +$11.55 |
 Will Tania Peres win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | No | 30 | $0.570 | $29.97 | +$12.87 |
 Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? | Yes | 37 | $0.471 | $28.86 | +$11.42 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | No | 35.86 | $0.594 | $26.72 | +$5.42 |
 Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 36.51 | $0.516 | $25.55 | +$6.7 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026? | No | 27 | $0.170 | $25.33 | +$20.74 |
 Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | No | 31 | $0.680 | $25.11 | +$4.03 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | Yes | 25 | $0.460 | $24.94 | +$13.44 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Over/Under 31%? | Under | 30 | $0.560 | $24.45 | +$7.65 |
 Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 24.49 | $0.655 | $24.32 | +$8.28 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | Yes | 56.83 | $0.494 | $24.15 | -$3.95 |
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?No| sell |
| 19 |
| $0.999 |
| $18.98 |
| 5d ago |
 Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?Under | buy | 9 | $0.810 | $7.29 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.220 | $0.6 | 14d ago |
 Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 18.77 | $0.999 | $18.75 | 20d ago |
 Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No | sell | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | 20d ago |
 Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No | sell | 9 | $0.999 | $8.99 | 20d ago |
 Will Trump praise Roger Penske in August?No | buy | 21 | $0.120 | $2.52 | 21d ago |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.540 | $7.56 | 21d ago |
 Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 21d ago |
 Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.879 | $4.55 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.190 | $1.33 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.201 | $2.01 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 16.42 | $0.280 | $4.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No | sell | 15 | $0.870 | $13.05 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Yes | buy | 18.3 | $0.130 | $2.38 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.62 | $0.220 | $3.44 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 6?Up | sell | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 6?Down | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.110 | $0.37 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 22?Down | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?No | buy | 12.25 | $0.710 | $8.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Yes | sell | 12.25 | $0.310 | $3.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 11?Down | buy | 7 | $0.190 | $1.33 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 27?No | buy | 11 | $0.640 | $7.04 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 237.5 | $0.160 | $38 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.399 | $7.98 | May 16, 2026 |
 T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Toss Match Double Bangladesh WinnerNo | buy | 6.27 | $0.770 | $4.83 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Set Handicap: Svajda (-1.5) vs Kouame (+1.5)Kouame | sell | 14 | $0.340 | $4.76 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.212 | $3.18 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Honor of Kings: King of Gamers Club vs Tenacity (BO5) - RoV Pro League Group StageKing of Gamers Club | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 NYA (NYA) Up or Down on March 6?Down | buy | 18 | $0.600 | $10.8 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in February?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 23 above $90?No | buy | 20 | $0.361 | $7.22 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 13 | $0.105 | $1.37 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.870 | $33.93 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.530 | $8.48 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say “Crazy Bernie” by February 28?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.260 | $1.56 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 18?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.664 | $6.64 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.69 | $0.510 | $5.96 | Feb 11, 2026 |