Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | Yes | 1.97K | $0.938 | $1.88K | +$34.86 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 179.62 | $0.130 | $23.35 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.27K |
| $0.821 |
| $1.11K |
| +$62.49 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? | Yes | 1K | $0.732 | $886.4 | +$151.4 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1.01K | $0.471 | $847.35 | +$369.35 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 1.33K | $0.589 | $619.39 | -$164.53 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 716.42 | $0.701 | $591.05 | +$88.55 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 661.27 | $0.805 | $585.22 | +$52.75 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | No | 627.88 | $0.807 | $552.54 | +$45.48 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.15K | $0.223 | $475.24 | +$219.35 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | No | 502.9 | $0.664 | $409.86 | +$75.81 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.392 | $387.89 | -$11.76 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 562.68 | $0.371 | $213.82 | +$5.2 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 136 | $0.617 | $112.88 | +$28.99 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.49K | $0.126 | $44.89 | -$520.32 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 179.62 | $0.130 | $24.25 | +$0.9 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 346.2 | $0.265 | $18 | -$73.62 |
| buy |
| 26 |
| $0.050 |
| $1.3 |
| 1d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 44.82 | $0.949 | $42.53 | 1d ago |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 32.68 | $0.360 | $11.76 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 616.42 | $0.700 | $431.49 | 1d ago |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 245 | $0.361 | $88.55 | 2d ago |
 Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?No | sell | 661.91 | $0.900 | $595.72 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.430 | $107.5 | 2d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.956 | $1.01K | 5d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 322.47 | $0.850 | $274.1 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 322.47 | $0.850 | $274.1 | 5d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 320 | $0.107 | $34.24 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.106 | $4.24 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 368.99 | $0.915 | $337.49 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 302.52 | $0.104 | $31.43 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 334.79 | $0.899 | $301.03 | 6d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 354.08 | $0.510 | $180.58 | 6d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 700 | $0.930 | $651 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 158.21 | $0.948 | $150 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.430 | $10.75 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Yes | buy | 55.77 | $0.400 | $22.31 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Yes | buy | 380 | $0.390 | $148.2 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Yes | buy | 560 | $0.390 | $218.4 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.640 | $192 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.650 | $195 | 6d ago |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?No | buy | 121 | $0.787 | $95.24 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.48K | $0.022 | $31.94 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.58K | $0.019 | $125 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 881.79 | $0.980 | $864.15 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 682 | $0.210 | $143.22 | 7d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes | sell | 437 | $0.347 | $151.59 | 7d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 8d ago |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?No | buy | 349 | $0.628 | $219.31 | 8d ago |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?No | buy | 32.9 | $0.593 | $19.51 | 8d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.230 | $69 | 8d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes | buy | 137 | $0.220 | $30.14 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 14.36 | $0.260 | $3.73 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 270 | $0.085 | $22.97 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 238 | $0.500 | $119 | 9d ago |
 Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes | sell | 135.92 | $0.878 | $119.4 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 270 | $0.160 | $43.2 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 181.3 | $0.772 | $140 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 96.83 | $0.630 | $61 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.17 | $0.620 | $11.89 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 135 | $0.700 | $94.5 | 10d ago |
 Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 816.1 | $0.170 | $138.74 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 308.89 | $0.900 | $278 | 11d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 134.62 | $0.520 | $70 | 11d ago |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.789 | $928 | 11d ago |