Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 621.67 | $0.498 | $534.64 | +$224.68 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
| No |
| 557.55 |
| $0.412 |
| $465.55 |
| +$235.84 |
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? | Yes | 689.07 | $0.589 | $451.34 | +$45.69 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 830.01 | $0.116 | $269.75 | +$173.85 |
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | No | 299.99 | $0.848 | $263.7 | +$9.4 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 438.94 | $0.209 | $230.44 | +$138.49 |
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? | Yes | 316.88 | $0.575 | $183.79 | +$1.54 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.850 | $177 | +$7 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 799.99 | $0.154 | $172 | +$49.01 |
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? | No | 377.82 | $0.396 | $162.46 | +$13.01 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.350 | $161.2 | +$91.2 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 244.1 | $0.367 | $152.56 | +$62.92 |
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 144 | $0.618 | $108.72 | +$19.72 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | No | 266.45 | $0.698 | $107.91 | -$78 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 120.24 | $0.624 | $102.8 | +$27.78 |
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | Yes | 209.65 | $0.360 | $101.68 | +$26.21 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $94.75 | +$4.75 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 100 | $0.810 | $89.5 | +$8.5 |
Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? | Yes | 100 | $0.460 | $87.45 | +$41.45 |
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.860 | $86.5 | +$0.5 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 100 | $0.620 | $76.5 | +$14.5 |
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Yes | 150 | $0.540 | $75.75 | -$5.25 |
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | Yes | 99.6 | $0.728 | $75.7 | +$3.16 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | No | 305.99 | $0.426 | $75.58 | -$54.78 |
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.540 | $73.5 | +$19.5 |