Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | No | 435.58 | $0.834 | $427.3 | +$63.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?No | sell | 4.87 | $0.420 | $2.05 | 17m ago |
 |
| No |
| 333.73 |
| $0.791 |
| $284.51 |
| +$20.55 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 744.83 | $0.289 | $212.28 | -$2.74 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | Yes | 194.69 | $0.889 | $176.39 | +$3.23 |
 Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 50.1 | $0.822 | $43.34 | +$2.15 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.950 | $37.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? | Yes | 36.16 | $0.745 | $34.71 | +$7.79 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 41.8 | $0.512 | $32.6 | +$11.19 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 33.4 | $0.854 | $30.9 | +$2.35 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | No | 28.54 | $0.450 | $28.28 | +$15.44 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 1.2K | $0.309 | $24.54 | -$345.89 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 70.63 | $0.440 | $22.25 | -$8.84 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 22.72 | $0.864 | $20.45 | +$0.82 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 39.32 | $0.454 | $19.86 | +$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 23.28 | $0.841 | $19.67 | +$0.09 |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 76.68 | $0.225 | $18.79 | +$1.55 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 31.94 | $0.325 | $18.37 | +$7.99 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 22.48 | $0.740 | $16.52 | -$0.11 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | Yes | 17.27 | $0.852 | $14.51 | -$0.21 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 16.94 | $0.537 | $14.06 | +$4.96 |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | No | 13.28 | $0.745 | $10.56 | +$0.67 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.800 | $9.25 | +$1.25 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 99.94 | $0.088 | $8.94 | +$0.15 |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.45 | $0.668 | $6.76 | +$0.45 |
 Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.65 | $0.520 | $5.55 | +$0.53 |
| buy |
| 6.45 |
| $0.760 |
| $4.9 |
| 26m ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.650 | $4.79 | 26m ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 3.93 | $0.840 | $3.3 | 3h ago |
 Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-11?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.740 | $0.65 | 3h ago |
| Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-11?No | sell | 0.22 | $0.740 | $0.16 | 3h ago |
| Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-11?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.740 | $0.12 | 3h ago |
| Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-11?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.740 | $0.07 | 3h ago |
| Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-11?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.740 | $0.06 | 3h ago |
| Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-11?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 3h ago |
 Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 6.12 | $0.280 | $1.71 | 3h ago |
 Will Maude Brossard-Sabourin win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?Yes | sell | 5.09 | $0.230 | $1.17 | 4h ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.22 | $0.860 | $1.05 | 4h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.630 | $0.43 | 4h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.720 | $2.25 | 4h ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 49.97 | $0.088 | $4.4 | 4h ago |
 Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Yes | sell | 5.36 | $0.340 | $1.82 | 5h ago |
 Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | sell | 7.44 | $0.240 | $1.79 | 5h ago |
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.660 | $2.2 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.91 | $0.760 | $1.45 | 6h ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 22.72 | $0.864 | $19.63 | 6h ago |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 41.55 | $0.350 | $14.54 | 6h ago |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | 6h ago |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 20.02 | $0.230 | $4.6 | 6h ago |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 76.68 | $0.225 | $17.24 | 6h ago |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.83% in September?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 6h ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.850 | $4.93 | 7h ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Yes | buy | 6.89 | $0.840 | $5.79 | 8h ago |
| Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.840 | $16.88 | 8h ago |
 Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.820 | $2.05 | 8h ago |
 Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.56 | $0.720 | $0.4 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.720 | $0.04 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.93 | $0.720 | $1.39 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.720 | $0.2 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.720 | $0.93 | 9h ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.58 | $0.700 | $0.41 | 10h ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.700 | $0.94 | 10h ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.41 | $0.700 | $1.69 | 10h ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.700 | $0.08 | 10h ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.700 | $0.18 | 10h ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.100 | $0.37 | 11h ago |
 Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.560 | $0.08 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.93 | $0.770 | $1.49 | 11h ago |
 Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes | sell | 1.84 | $0.570 | $1.05 | 11h ago |
| Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.520 | $0.69 | 11h ago |
 Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5.37 | $0.380 | $2.04 | 11h ago |
 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.180 | $0.92 | 11h ago |
 Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?Yes | sell | 7.2 | $0.239 | $1.72 | 11h ago |
 Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.460 | $3.83 | 12h ago |