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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 8.79K | $0.433 | $4.79K | +$979.82 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.919 | $459.5 | 4h ago |
 |
| No |
| 9.26K |
| $0.530 |
| $4.3K |
| -$601.55 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.65K | $0.712 | $3.16K | +$556.94 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 3.3K | $0.632 | $2.16K | +$74.68 |
 Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.95K | $0.797 | $1.55K | -$4.65 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.59K | $0.734 | $1.42K | +$255.09 |
 Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.58K | $0.771 | $1.24K | +$22.09 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 3.3K | $0.338 | $1.24K | +$123.41 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.27K | $0.845 | $1.12K | +$44 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.41K | $0.781 | $1.11K | +$5.39 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 745.16 | $0.703 | $681.82 | +$158.08 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 926.32 | $0.690 | $588.21 | -$51.02 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 955.74 | $0.547 | $525.66 | +$2.31 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.65K | $0.277 | $511.11 | -$501.65 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 500.01 | $0.919 | $458.75 | -$0.75 |
| Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%? | Over | 457 | $0.650 | $397.59 | +$100.54 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.78K | $0.193 | $373.41 | +$30.95 |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.65K | $0.204 | $332.23 | -$4.07 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 926.32 | $0.288 | $328.84 | +$61.63 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 396.02 | $0.800 | $322.76 | +$5.94 |
 Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.41K | $0.194 | $310.74 | +$36.78 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 651.1 | $0.437 | $293 | +$8.45 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 346 | $0.777 | $278.53 | +$9.76 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 278.07 | $0.772 | $264.17 | +$49.45 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.01K | $0.144 | $260.62 | -$315.34 |
| buy |
| 274 |
| $0.770 |
| $210.98 |
| 4h ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.77 | $0.410 | $11.39 | 4h ago |
| Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 15.55 | $0.230 | $3.58 | 5h ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?CDU | buy | 9.62 | $0.240 | $2.31 | 5h ago |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 15.14 | $0.800 | $12.11 | 6h ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.580 | $290 | 9h ago |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | 11h ago |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.198 | $34.6 | 13h ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.220 | $1.54 | 15h ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?Linke | buy | 21.95 | $0.770 | $16.9 | 15h ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?Linke | buy | 70 | $0.770 | $53.9 | 15h ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?Linke | buy | 283.15 | $0.770 | $218.03 | 16h ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?Linke | buy | 143.23 | $0.770 | $110.29 | 16h ago |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 286.99 | $0.220 | $63.14 | 17h ago |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 75 | $0.210 | $15.75 | 17h ago |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.199 | $24.93 | 17h ago |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 196.26 | $0.189 | $37.15 | 17h ago |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 437.04 | $0.804 | $351.29 | 17h ago |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 346.96 | $0.800 | $277.57 | 17h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | 17h ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?CDU | buy | 50 | $0.256 | $12.8 | 18h ago |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | 18h ago |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 500 | $0.791 | $395.5 | 18h ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?CDU | buy | 50 | $0.246 | $12.3 | 18h ago |
| Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.170 | $85 | 18h ago |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.790 | $131.14 | 18h ago |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 175 | $0.790 | $138.25 | 18h ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?CDU | buy | 427.62 | $0.208 | $89.14 | 18h ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?CDU | buy | 14.94 | $0.180 | $2.69 | 18h ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?CDU | buy | 50 | $0.184 | $9.2 | 18h ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?CDU | buy | 121.95 | $0.197 | $24.01 | 18h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 75.01 | $0.210 | $15.75 | 19h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 269.63 | $0.320 | $86.28 | 19h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.790 | $56.88 | 19h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 268.63 | $0.790 | $212.22 | 19h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.61 | $0.320 | $6.6 | 19h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.41 | $0.250 | $10.35 | 19h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 159.37 | $0.733 | $116.89 | 19h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.720 | $208.8 | 19h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.720 | $151.2 | 19h ago |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 138.12 | $0.780 | $107.73 | 19h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 82.71 | $0.780 | $64.51 | 19h ago |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.790 | $18.96 | 19h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.45 | $0.410 | $14.12 | 20h ago |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.96 | $0.790 | $4.71 | 20h ago |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 16 | $0.800 | $12.8 | 21h ago |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.800 | $5.78 | 21h ago |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 51.54 | $0.791 | $40.74 | 21h ago |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 128.97 | $0.790 | $101.89 | 21h ago |