Analytics
Yes is at 33%, down 61 points from 93.5% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 21 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 33% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 83%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 43% on 30 Oct 2026.
Apple ranks second of the 9 outcomes in “2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?”. NVIDIA leads at 66.6%; Microsoft is at 0.1%.
$2.9K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $53.33K since listing. The order book holds $2.17K, with a 20.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.81K bought Yes and $1.92K bought No.
The largest Yes position is gambler925 with 2.7K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 7.1K. Ten wallets hold 72.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 93.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 33.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.09K |
| Machaon | No | 2.8K |
| gambler925 | Yes | 2.68K |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-october-2026
| Misty Lynx D60F |
| Yes |
| 1.97K |
| 35066FE58fe | Yes | 1.96K |
| DLM001 | Yes | 1.72K |
| suntori | Yes | 976.21 |
| MyroO | Yes | 799.98 |
| GenaTheBondKilIer | No | 584.85 |
| 42021 | No | 566.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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