Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.850 | $358 | +$18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.850 | $340 | 4h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 300 |
| $0.632 |
| $244.5 |
| +$54.91 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 146.77 | $0.640 | $127.69 | +$33.77 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.690 | $108 | +$25.2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.310 | $63 | +$1 |
 Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026? | No | 418.87 | $0.067 | $61.36 | +$33.28 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 66.2 | $0.730 | $59.25 | +$10.92 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.350 | $29.6 | +$15.6 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 148.77 | $0.130 | $21.57 | +$2.23 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? | Yes | 47.69 | $0.410 | $21.22 | +$1.67 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 55.71 | $0.350 | $19.22 | -$0.28 |
 Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | No | 80.92 | $0.240 | $19.02 | -$0.4 |
 Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? | Yes | 171.94 | $0.096 | $18.05 | +$1.52 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | Yes | 48.39 | $0.404 | $17.66 | -$1.88 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 216.34 | $0.092 | $16.23 | -$3.77 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 45.85 | $0.249 | $15.36 | +$3.92 |
| Next Kimi K model released by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 420 | $0.067 | $15.33 | -$12.7 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 77.54 | $0.064 | $14.5 | +$9.5 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 39.99 | $0.520 | $12 | -$8.8 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat? | Yes | 175.64 | $0.110 | $11.42 | -$7.9 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 16.29 | $0.614 | $11.32 | +$1.32 |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | Yes | 20.2 | $0.650 | $11.01 | -$2.12 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.029 | $8.25 | -$0.44 |
 Will Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026? | Yes | 38.49 | $0.510 | $3.46 | -$16.17 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 39.5 | $0.081 | $3.04 | -$0.16 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.360 |
| $3.6 |
| 5h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | 5h ago |
| Next Kimi K model released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.067 | $28.03 | 17h ago |
| Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 418.87 | $0.067 | $28.09 | 17h ago |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 126.79 | $0.608 | $77.04 | 2d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 35 | $0.580 | $20.3 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.833 | $108.26 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.029 | $5.86 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.028 | $2.83 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.250 | $9 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.240 | $1.44 | 4d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 16.29 | $0.614 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No | buy | 230 | $0.498 | $114.57 | 5d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No | buy | 260 | $0.499 | $129.7 | 5d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No | buy | 300 | $0.500 | $150 | 5d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No | buy | 300 | $0.500 | $150 | 5d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No | buy | 43 | $0.467 | $20.07 | 5d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 114.89 | $0.870 | $100 | 5d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 269.68 | $0.742 | $200 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.500 | $250 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | sell | 81.71 | $0.650 | $53.11 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 110 | $0.550 | $60.5 | 6d ago |
| Will Waymo launch in New Orleans, LA by December 31 2026?No | sell | 24.23 | $0.778 | $18.86 | 6d ago |
 Will Daniele Monroe-Moreno win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?No | sell | 77.72 | $0.250 | $19.43 | 6d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | sell | 67.1 | $0.350 | $23.48 | 6d ago |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | sell | 61.37 | $0.100 | $6.11 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.550 | $13.75 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 180 | $0.550 | $98.94 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 52.8 | $0.500 | $26.4 | 6d ago |
 Will Oliver Junk win the next Hannover Region presidential election?Yes | sell | 115.64 | $0.171 | $19.74 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 180 | $0.500 | $90 | 6d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes | sell | 275.57 | $0.097 | $26.74 | 6d ago |
| Will Waymo launch in Minneapolis, MN by December 31 2026?No | sell | 24.51 | $0.820 | $20.1 | 6d ago |
| Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?Yes | sell | 60.08 | $0.250 | $15.02 | 6d ago |
 Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Yes | sell | 60.84 | $0.320 | $19.47 | 6d ago |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 113.94 | $0.200 | $22.79 | 6d ago |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes | sell | 33.19 | $0.140 | $4.65 | 6d ago |
 Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 20 ETH before 2027?Yes | sell | 32.98 | $0.100 | $3.3 | 6d ago |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.932 | $20.71 | 6d ago |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | sell | 131.87 | $0.170 | $22.42 | 6d ago |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | sell | 23.52 | $0.830 | $19.52 | 6d ago |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 58.35 | $0.350 | $20.42 | 6d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.850 | $19.31 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | 6d ago |