Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 105.94 | $0.680 | $78.92 | +$6.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.06 | $0.622 | $9.99 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 172.11 |
| $0.585 |
| $78.31 |
| -$22.34 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 69.78 | $0.264 | $60.71 | +$42.25 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 45.69 | $0.664 | $41.35 | +$10.98 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 41.01 | $0.669 | $39.59 | +$12.15 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | No | 39.96 | $0.250 | $36.36 | +$26.37 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 39.5 | $0.759 | $34.96 | +$4.98 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 42.85 | $0.767 | $34.07 | +$1.21 |
 Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30? | No | 35.59 | $0.561 | $31.14 | +$11.16 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 56.26 | $0.482 | $30.1 | +$2.99 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | No | 35.49 | $0.697 | $28.39 | +$3.65 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | Yes | 33.31 | $0.291 | $25.48 | +$15.78 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 41.07 | $0.486 | $25.05 | +$5.07 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | No | 67.18 | $0.645 | $23.18 | -$20.15 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 25.43 | $0.782 | $22.1 | +$2.21 |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31? | No | 29.03 | $0.535 | $21.63 | +$6.08 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 44.63 | $0.450 | $20.69 | +$0.59 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 31.26 | $0.339 | $20.47 | +$9.88 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 37.75 | $0.640 | $19.82 | -$4.34 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 21.72 | $0.460 | $19.33 | +$9.34 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 57.11 | $0.350 | $19.13 | -$0.86 |
 Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election? | Yes | 35.94 | $0.556 | $18.69 | -$1.29 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 27.75 | $0.720 | $18.59 | -$1.39 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 34.49 | $0.579 | $18.11 | -$1.87 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in September? | Yes | 40 | $0.250 | $17.8 | +$7.8 |
| buy |
| 21.49 |
| $0.469 |
| $10.08 |
| 4h ago |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?No | buy | 12.87 | $0.580 | $7.46 | 4h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.58 | $0.400 | $1.83 | 4h ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 19.98 | $0.500 | $9.99 | 6h ago |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?No | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | 6h ago |
 Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.210 | $2.73 | 7h ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?No | sell | 11.96 | $0.680 | $8.13 | 8h ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?No | buy | 14.9 | $0.670 | $9.98 | 8h ago |
 Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.600 | $5.99 | 9h ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.58 | $0.650 | $8.18 | 9h ago |
 Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | 11h ago |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 11h ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.72 | $0.670 | $9.19 | 12h ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | 13h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | buy | 20.81 | $0.480 | $9.99 | 13h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | 14h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes | buy | 17.53 | $0.190 | $3.33 | 14h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 3.2 | $0.754 | $2.41 | 15h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 10.08 | $0.754 | $7.6 | 15h ago |
 Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 344.14 | $0.029 | $9.98 | 15h ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | 15h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | 16h ago |
 Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?No | buy | 19 | $0.430 | $8.17 | 16h ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?Yes | sell | 9.85 | $0.770 | $7.58 | 17h ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?Yes | buy | 9.86 | $0.780 | $7.69 | 17h ago |
 Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.600 | $6.1 | 23h ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?No | buy | 0.83 | $0.800 | $0.66 | 1d ago |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | 1d ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Yes | buy | 10.47 | $0.190 | $1.99 | 1d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 13.88 | $0.720 | $9.99 | 1d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 13.88 | $0.720 | $9.99 | 1d ago |
 Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election?No | buy | 19 | $0.230 | $4.37 | 1d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes | sell | 5.14 | $0.630 | $3.24 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.660 | $3.37 | 1d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.740 | $2.52 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | 1d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 9.85 | $0.740 | $7.29 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes | buy | 15.25 | $0.610 | $9.3 | 1d ago |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.66 | $0.640 | $7.46 | 1d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 31.56 | $0.314 | $9.9 | 1d ago |
 Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?Yes | buy | 13.5 | $0.740 | $9.99 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?No | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1d ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?No | buy | 5.98 | $0.600 | $3.59 | 1d ago |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.36 | $0.332 | $10.08 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.720 | $1.44 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 11.96 | $0.720 | $8.61 | 1d ago |