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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 61.75 | $0.850 | $61.6 | +$9.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GTA VI released by November 30?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | 14h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 65.25 |
| $0.766 |
| $61.01 |
| +$11.01 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 53.57 | $0.373 | $42.32 | +$22.32 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.850 | $36.6 | +$2.6 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 30.48 | $0.328 | $26.36 | +$16.36 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 22.99 | $0.870 | $21.49 | +$1.49 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 22.52 | $0.888 | $21.05 | +$1.05 |
| GTA VI released by November 30? | Yes | 21.62 | $0.925 | $20 | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 20.75 | $0.723 | $17.75 | +$2.75 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | No | 19.72 | $0.760 | $17.16 | +$2.16 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 29.59 | $0.236 | $14.79 | +$7.79 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 16.67 | $0.900 | $14.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | No | 13.58 | $0.737 | $13.28 | +$3.28 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | No | 13.51 | $0.740 | $12.77 | +$2.77 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.77 | $0.727 | $11.63 | +$1.63 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 33.25 | $0.331 | $11.62 | +$0.62 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.320 | $11.09 | +$1.09 |
 Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | No | 11.5 | $0.870 | $10.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.750 | $9.83 | +$2.33 |
 OpenAI acquired before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.750 | $9.6 | +$2.1 |
 Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.820 | $8.75 | +$0.55 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 9.46 | $0.793 | $8.46 | +$0.96 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | No | 8.23 | $0.900 | $7.57 | +$0.16 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.540 | $7.35 | +$1.95 |
| buy |
| 26.11 |
| $0.383 |
| $10 |
| 14h ago |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.999 | $5.19 | 14h ago |
 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.9 | $0.190 | $0.93 | 14h ago |
 Revolut IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 51.22 | $0.022 | $1.11 | 14h ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.42 | $0.080 | $0.75 | 14h ago |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 3.26 | $0.070 | $0.23 | 14h ago |
 Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 30.42 | $0.004 | $0.12 | 14h ago |
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.360 | $3.33 | 14h ago |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.690 | $4.42 | 14h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 14h ago |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 14h ago |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | 14h ago |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | 14h ago |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.760 | $4.56 | 14h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 61.74 | $0.995 | $61.43 | 15h ago |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 15h ago |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | 15h ago |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | 15h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | 15h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | 15h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.3 | $0.327 | $5 | 15h ago |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.290 | $13.81 | 15h ago |
 Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | 20h ago |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.611 | $5 | 20h ago |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | 20h ago |
 Ledger IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 13.47 | $0.090 | $1.21 | 20h ago |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.984 | $1.17 | 20h ago |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?Yes | sell | 2.15 | $0.993 | $2.13 | 20h ago |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.62 | $0.250 | $2.16 | 20h ago |
| Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 20h ago |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.82 | $0.610 | $4.77 | 20h ago |
 Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.690 | $5.56 | 20h ago |
 Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.55 | $0.590 | $5.04 | 20h ago |
| Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 20h ago |
 Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.09 | $0.420 | $2.56 | 20h ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.720 | $12.96 | 20h ago |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.28 | $0.609 | $9.91 | 20h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | 20h ago |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No | buy | 30.48 | $0.328 | $10 | 20h ago |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | 20h ago |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | 21h ago |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.250 | $4.63 | 21h ago |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | 1d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | 1d ago |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | 1d ago |
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.880 | $4 | 1d ago |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | 1d ago |