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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.700 | $6.14 | +$1.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 9.3 |
| $0.645 |
| $5.91 |
| -$0.09 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | Yes | 6.06 | $0.330 | $5.72 | +$3.72 |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | Yes | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5.22 | +$0.22 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 5.26 | $0.951 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 5.62 | $0.890 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | Yes | 7.25 | $0.690 | $4.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | Yes | 9.62 | $0.520 | $4.76 | -$0.24 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 8.41 | $0.594 | $4.5 | -$0.5 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13? | No | 6.12 | $0.490 | $4.13 | +$1.13 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.690 | $4.13 | +$1.13 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 4.17 | $0.480 | $4.06 | +$2.06 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 9? | No | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3.95 | +$0.95 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13? | No | 7.14 | $0.700 | $3.75 | -$1.25 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $3.37 | +$2.37 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3.21 | +$0.21 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2.95 | +$0.95 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | No | 6.25 | $0.480 | $2.84 | -$0.16 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2.72 | +$0.72 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 6.25 | $0.160 | $2.31 | +$1.31 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 5.77 |
| $0.520 |
| $3 |
| 2h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | 2h ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | 2h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | 2h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | 6h ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on September 8?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 23h ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 8?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | 23h ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | 23h ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 23h ago |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | 1d ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 7?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 5?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | 6d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETDown | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 3?Down | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?Down | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 3?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 August 31-September 6?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | 6d ago |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 31-September 6?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | 8d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?No | sell | 7.36 | $0.999 | $7.35 | 8d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 9d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 2.52 | $0.795 | $2 | 9d ago |
 Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.825 | $2 | 9d ago |