Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | Yes | 6.82 | $0.540 | $6.5 | +$2.82 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.48 | $0.830 | $2.89 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 8.44 |
| $0.760 |
| $5.91 |
| -$0.51 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 5.47 | $0.840 | $4.57 | -$0.03 |
 Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | No | 4.13 | $0.840 | $4.09 | +$0.62 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.33 | $0.680 | $3.88 | +$0.93 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | No | 4.83 | $0.650 | $3.62 | +$0.48 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 3.38 | $0.706 | $3.3 | +$0.92 |
 Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? | Yes | 3.79 | $0.820 | $3.28 | +$0.17 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? | No | 3.92 | $0.730 | $3.19 | +$0.33 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 3.8 | $0.615 | $2.96 | +$0.63 |
 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | Yes | 4.2 | $0.580 | $2.9 | +$0.46 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.48 | $0.830 | $2.75 | -$0.14 |
 Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | No | 3.81 | $0.760 | $2.71 | -$0.19 |
 Will Rhyne Howard have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | Yes | 2.68 | $0.765 | $2.57 | +$0.52 |
 Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28? | No | 3.23 | $0.760 | $2.49 | +$0.03 |
 Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 51m? | No | 2.49 | $0.810 | $2.45 | +$0.43 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.8 | $0.670 | $2.36 | -$0.19 |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 4.22 | $0.870 | $2.3 | -$1.37 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? | Yes | 2.85 | $0.840 | $2.24 | -$0.16 |
 Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | No | 2.18 | $0.699 | $2.13 | +$0.6 |
 Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 2.67 | $0.800 | $2.1 | -$0.04 |
 Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | No | 2.97 | $0.700 | $2.05 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | Yes | 2.4 | $0.800 | $1.98 | +$0.06 |
 Will Élodie Murphy-Gauthier win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election? | Yes | 2.61 | $0.700 | $1.81 | -$0.01 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.790 | $1.66 | +$0.08 |
| buy |
| 1.41 |
| $0.784 |
| $1.11 |
| 7h ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.540 | $1.3 | 23h ago |
| Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.800 | $2.14 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 8?No | buy | 3.47 | $0.510 | $1.77 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.700 | $2.08 | 2d ago |
| Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?Yes | buy | 2.4 | $0.800 | $1.92 | 2d ago |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 51m?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.810 | $2.02 | 2d ago |
 Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.760 | $1.31 | 3d ago |
| Will Élodie Murphy-Gauthier win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 2.61 | $0.700 | $1.83 | 3d ago |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.580 | $2.44 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.790 | $1.58 | 3d ago |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.740 | $2.29 | 3d ago |
 Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 2.97 | $0.750 | $2.23 | 3d ago |
 Will Chewy say "Headwind" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 4.32 | $0.640 | $2.76 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.670 | $2.55 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.615 | $2.34 | 4d ago |
| Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.820 | $3.11 | 4d ago |
| Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?No | buy | 3.81 | $0.760 | $2.9 | 4d ago |
 Will "Vote" or "Voter" or "Votes" be in the headlines this week?Yes | buy | 2.61 | $0.750 | $1.96 | 4d ago |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No | buy | 4.83 | $0.650 | $3.14 | 9d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 30?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.650 | $1.85 | 12d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 30?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.680 | $2.84 | 12d ago |
 Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" this week?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.700 | $1.27 | 17d ago |
 Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.580 | $1.22 | 17d ago |
 Will Sabah qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.580 | $1.22 | 17d ago |
 Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.670 | $2.64 | 18d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.700 | $1.39 | 19d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?Under | buy | 2.98 | $0.590 | $1.76 | 19d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 2.52 | $0.800 | $2.02 | 19d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.490 | $1.8 | 20d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.630 | $1.42 | 20d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.21 | $0.735 | $2.36 | 22d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.780 | $2.07 | 25d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 14?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.690 | $1.48 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 14?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.790 | $1.5 | 28d ago |
 Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.570 | $1.47 | 28d ago |
| Will Rhyne Howard have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.765 | $2.05 | 29d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 12?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.750 | $2.23 | 29d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.630 | $1.58 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.770 | $1.46 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom HeroesLG Twins | buy | 2.12 | $0.520 | $1.1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 2.87 | $0.810 | $2.32 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.750 | $1.88 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.36 | $0.750 | $1.77 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 9?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.810 | $1.99 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Hammarby IF vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 2.27 | $0.520 | $1.18 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.830 | $2.53 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $115B by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.500 | $1.02 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?Yes | buy | 2.85 | $0.840 | $2.39 | Aug 6, 2026 |