Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:12 AM UTC.
Analytics
Stingy-Shoulder has made $132.57 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:12 AM UTC.
$4.25 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 44 markets; 60.0% were buys. They run from Oct 24, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 9.43 | $0.697 | $6.41 | -$0.17 |
 Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 8m ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 12:29 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 03:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 03:12 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 12:29 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $36.73 and losing ones cost $113.76 across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.33 on “Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?” (No); the largest loss, $6.75 on “Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 991 markets. Its open positions are worth $913.69 across 283 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 7 |
| $0.864 |
| $5.99 |
| -$0.06 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 7.61 | $0.753 | $5.94 | +$0.2 |
 Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | No | 6.81 | $0.866 | $5.78 | -$0.11 |
 Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5.92 | $0.870 | $5.03 | -$0.12 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.941 | $4.89 | +$0.19 |
 Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? | Yes | 5 | $0.814 | $4.88 | +$0.81 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.941 | $4.85 | +$0.15 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.939 | $4.83 | +$0.13 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.941 | $4.8 | +$0.09 |
 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | No | 4.95 | $0.927 | $4.79 | +$0.2 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.932 | $4.79 | +$0.13 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 5 | $0.941 | $4.78 | +$0.08 |
 Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 5 | $0.944 | $4.78 | +$0.06 |
 Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027? | No | 5 | $0.939 | $4.77 | +$0.08 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | No | 5 | $0.936 | $4.76 | +$0.08 |
 James Norton announced as next James Bond? | No | 5 | $0.917 | $4.76 | +$0.18 |
 Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.946 | $4.76 | +$0.03 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | $0 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.931 | $4.75 | +$0.09 |
 Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.926 | $4.74 | +$0.11 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? | No | 5 | $0.933 | $4.74 | +$0.08 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | No | 5 | $0.931 | $4.74 | +$0.08 |
 XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.907 | $4.73 | +$0.2 |
 Macron out by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.948 | $4.73 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.880 |
| $4.4 |
| 13m ago |
 Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Messi | sell | 3.99 | $0.390 | $1.56 | 50m ago |
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 1h ago |
 Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.880 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 0.88 | $0.600 | $0.53 | 1h ago |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | 1h ago |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.939 | $4.69 | 1h ago |
 Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 2h ago |
 Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.851 | $4.26 | 2h ago |
 Blue tsunami in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 4h ago |
| Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 4h ago |
 Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | 5h ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | 6h ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 7h ago |
| Will OXY play for Cloud9 in 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.917 | $4.59 | 8h ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 8h ago |
| GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launchNo | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 8h ago |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.922 | $4.61 | 8h ago |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 8h ago |
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | 9h ago |
| James Norton announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 5 | $0.917 | $4.59 | 9h ago |
 Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 9h ago |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 9h ago |
 Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 10h ago |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | 10h ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | 11h ago |
 Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | 11h ago |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 12h ago |
 Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 12h ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 12h ago |
 Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.920 | $0.06 | 12h ago |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 4.94 | $0.920 | $4.54 | 12h ago |
 Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 12h ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | 13h ago |
 Halle Berry as Storm?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 13h ago |
| Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | 13h ago |
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 13h ago |
 Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | 13h ago |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 13h ago |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 14h ago |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.901 | $4.51 | 14h ago |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.941 | $4.71 | 14h ago |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | 14h ago |
 Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$3,000 | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 15h ago |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?No | sell | 4.55 | $0.974 | $4.43 | 15h ago |
| Extended listed on Revolut within 30 days of TGE?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | 16h ago |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.841 | $1.09 | 17h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 17h ago |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 18h ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.