Analytics
Yes is at 5.3%, down 39 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 29 Jun 2026.
Across the 116 daily closes on record from 29 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 29 Jun 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 10 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.4%; a month before, 7.7%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 13.5% on 30 Jun 2026.
$8.36K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.39K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 128 trades, $283.54 bought Yes and $1.76K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Perlington with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is lug with 2.5K. Ten wallets hold 96.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 116 points, 29 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jun 2026 | 44.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 5.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lug | No | 2.49K |
| Perlington | Yes | 2.34K |
| StraddleSeller | No | 625.89 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-canada-election-called-by-june-30
| R-Paradox2 |
| Yes |
| 562.4 |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 523.18 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 352.19 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 238.01 |
| DW1 | No | 120.9 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 115.87 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 82.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
