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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 651.3 | $0.806 | $647.07 | +$121.94 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 100.82 | $0.380 | $38.31 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 596 |
| $0.680 |
| $595.11 |
| +$189.79 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat? | No | 300 | $0.948 | $298.65 | +$14.25 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat? | Yes | 300 | $0.900 | $285 | +$15 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat? | Yes | 300 | $0.900 | $280.5 | +$10.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? | Yes | 354.24 | $0.671 | $255.05 | +$17.38 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat? | Yes | 262.51 | $0.920 | $248.07 | +$6.56 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 767.38 | $0.260 | $222.54 | +$23.02 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | 264.84 | $0.670 | $206.58 | +$29.02 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AL-04 House seat? | No | 200 | $0.941 | $199.1 | +$10.9 |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 200 | $0.880 | $194.9 | +$18.9 |
| Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 200 | $0.850 | $191.7 | +$21.7 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-03 House seat? | Yes | 200 | $0.900 | $191 | +$11 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 349 | $0.430 | $176.25 | +$26.18 |
 Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.890 | $168 | -$10 |
 Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 154.53 | $0.840 | $153.6 | +$23.8 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 630.83 | $0.100 | $151.4 | +$88.32 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 200 | $0.700 | $149 | +$9 |
| Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle? | No | 149.5 | $0.934 | $148.45 | +$8.86 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat? | Yes | 137.34 | $0.930 | $131.16 | +$3.43 |
 Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 128.39 | $0.939 | $127.04 | +$6.48 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | Yes | 274.52 | $0.589 | $119.42 | -$42.37 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.95K | $0.023 | $118.41 | +$27.63 |
 Will Gabriel Pidomson win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election? | No | 120 | $0.900 | $115.32 | +$7.32 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 619.88 | $0.100 | $111.58 | +$49.59 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.120 |
| $2.4 |
| 7d ago |
 Will Trump say "Middleman" or "Middle Man" during healthcare affordability announcement?No | buy | 39.5 | $0.400 | $15.8 | 8d ago |
| Will Trump say "Neurocrine" during healthcare affordability announcement?No | buy | 43.47 | $0.770 | $33.47 | 8d ago |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.060 | $5.7 | 11d ago |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 79.99 | $0.230 | $18.4 | 11d ago |
 Will Austin, TX face tornado risk on August 27?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.030 | $1.2 | 12d ago |
| Will the PQ win 75-79 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes | buy | 20.01 | $0.100 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?Yes | buy | 102.96 | $0.489 | $50.3 | 12d ago |
 Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | 13d ago |
 Will Rafael Jodar advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?No | sell | 40 | $0.830 | $33.2 | 14d ago |
| Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | sell | 80.4 | $0.010 | $0.8 | 15d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.69 | $0.840 | $9.82 | 17d ago |
 Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 291.06 | $0.089 | $25.89 | 18d ago |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 120.16 | $0.212 | $25.43 | 18d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.060 | $72 | 18d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 187.48 | $0.080 | $15 | 18d ago |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustSomething | buy | 760 | $0.037 | $27.76 | 20d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 750.38 | $0.008 | $6 | 26d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 1K | $0.008 | $8 | 26d ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 275.52 | $0.800 | $220.42 | 28d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 4K | $0.017 | $68 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.110 | $33 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 75.64 | $0.100 | $7.56 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 349 | $0.430 | $150.07 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?Yes | sell | 175.03 | $0.174 | $30.46 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?Yes | sell | 100.34 | $0.480 | $48.16 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 104.97 | $0.420 | $44.09 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?No | buy | 2.11K | $0.097 | $204.9 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?No | buy | 354.91 | $0.095 | $33.77 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?Yes | buy | 348.05 | $0.119 | $41.31 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?Yes | buy | 195 | $0.100 | $19.5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?No | buy | 450.5 | $0.140 | $63.07 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 142.82 | $0.957 | $136.68 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 232.17 | $0.943 | $218.94 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes | buy | 12.4 | $0.144 | $1.79 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?No | buy | 112.82 | $0.110 | $12.41 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.106 | $29.67 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?No | buy | 300 | $0.560 | $168 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be below 80,000 voters?Yes | buy | 192.88 | $0.167 | $32.17 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes | buy | 350.69 | $0.058 | $20.37 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes | buy | 281.5 | $0.038 | $10.69 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.370 | $74 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Rhett Marques be the Republican nominee for AL-01?Yes | buy | 76.52 | $0.081 | $6.19 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?Yes | buy | 96.52 | $0.239 | $23.11 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?No | buy | 171.05 | $0.229 | $39.12 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 22.05 | $0.127 | $2.79 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 41.46 | $0.390 | $16.17 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.047 | $3.9 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.230 | $17.25 | May 16, 2026 |