Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 9.84K | $0.750 | $9.31K | +$1.93K |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Yes | buy | 345.99 | $0.687 | $237.87 | 33m ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.51K |
| $0.808 |
| $5.2K |
| +$749.03 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat? | Yes | 3.95K | $0.950 | $3.89K | +$132.49 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7K | $0.514 | $3.54K | -$65 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.1K | $0.404 | $2.69K | +$1.03K |
 Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | 4.89K | $0.392 | $2.47K | +$550.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.810 | $1.67K | +$50 |
 Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat? | Yes | 1.65K | $0.896 | $1.58K | +$101.91 |
 Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 1.3K | $0.723 | $1.29K | +$346.73 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat? | No | 1.18K | $0.900 | $1.16K | +$97.73 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 976.98 | $0.818 | $946.2 | +$146.7 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.25K | $0.239 | $917.97 | -$336.62 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 8.71K | $0.129 | $870.84 | -$254.51 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | Yes | 822.83 | $0.862 | $786.62 | +$77.53 |
 Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | No | 800.01 | $0.840 | $780.41 | +$108.53 |
 Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 2.12K | $0.279 | $667.96 | +$75.97 |
 Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 601.4 | $0.944 | $592.38 | +$24.37 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 1.09K | $0.481 | $585.76 | +$59.07 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 1.45K | $0.243 | $583.18 | +$230.02 |
 Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? | No | 574.79 | $0.898 | $544.61 | +$28.55 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat? | No | 537.07 | $0.956 | $534.12 | +$20.49 |
 Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? | No | 530.98 | $0.888 | $512.13 | +$40.38 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat? | No | 722.25 | $0.851 | $494.74 | -$119.95 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 1.52K | $0.346 | $387.6 | -$138.64 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? | Yes | 544 | $0.850 | $345.44 | -$116.96 |
| buy |
| 110 |
| $0.250 |
| $27.5 |
| 1h ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 252 | $0.057 | $14.27 | 12h ago |
 Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.079 | $15.7 | 12h ago |
| Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.296 | $296.28 | 12h ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.058 | $15.67 | 1d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 410.21 | $0.315 | $129.08 | 1d ago |
| Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 76.1 | $0.150 | $11.42 | 1d ago |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | sell | 593.61 | $0.260 | $154.34 | 1d ago |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | sell | 800 | $0.260 | $208 | 1d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 540.49 | $0.249 | $134.58 | 1d ago |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3.04K | $0.449 | $1.37K | 1d ago |
 Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes | sell | 2.85K | $0.110 | $313.31 | 2d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.179 | $89.5 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 55.28 | $0.509 | $28.11 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 428 | $0.490 | $209.72 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.279 | $591.99 | 2d ago |
 Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 522 | $0.580 | $302.76 | 2d ago |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 337.4 | $0.857 | $289.03 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?No | sell | 261.83 | $0.990 | $259.18 | 2d ago |
| Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | sell | 818.99 | $0.970 | $794.42 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 217 | $0.574 | $124.66 | 3d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?Over | buy | 543.62 | $0.449 | $244.23 | 3d ago |
| Will CDU win at least 26% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 324 | $0.120 | $38.88 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | buy | 220 | $0.738 | $162.4 | 3d ago |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 488.63 | $0.650 | $317.61 | 3d ago |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.140 | $335.86 | 3d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Grüne | buy | 309.37 | $0.160 | $49.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.140 | $699.18 | 3d ago |
| Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 74.56 | $0.126 | $9.37 | 3d ago |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 335.47 | $0.135 | $45.29 | 3d ago |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 341.71 | $0.122 | $41.72 | 3d ago |
| Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 498.63 | $0.660 | $329.1 | 3d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 874.24 | $0.950 | $830.55 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?No | buy | 1.51K | $0.900 | $1.36K | 4d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.900 | $911.28 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?Yes | buy | 634.97 | $0.890 | $565.12 | 4d ago |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes | sell | 304.45 | $0.128 | $39.09 | 4d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.78K | $0.928 | $3.51K | 4d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.928 | $928 | 4d ago |
 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Yes | sell | 206.09 | $0.520 | $107.17 | 5d ago |
 Will Jeff Beattie win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 93.2 | $0.999 | $93.11 | 5d ago |
| Will Jeff Beattie win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?No | sell | 28.64 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 5d ago |
 Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?Yes | sell | 133.99 | $0.001 | $0.13 | 5d ago |
| Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Jeff Beattie win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?No | sell | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?Yes | sell | 294.42 | $0.030 | $8.92 | 5d ago |
 Will Noor Tarun win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes | sell | 43.48 | $0.001 | $0.04 | 5d ago |
 Will Heino Doessing win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?Yes | sell | 182.88 | $0.001 | $0.18 | 5d ago |