Analytics
Yes is at 2.3%, down 3.2 points from 5.5% when the market opened on 30 Sep 2026.
Across the 25 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 5.5% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.9%.
James Talarico ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “Who will John Cornyn endorse in the Texas Senate Election?”. Nobody leads at 89.5%; Ken Paxton is at 6%.
$988.12 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.49K, with a 3.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 34 trades, $16.74 bought Yes and $567.32 bought No.
The largest Yes position is grinder1011 with 294 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 501. Ten wallets hold 95.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 5.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 500.85 |
| grinder1011 | Yes | 293.65 |
| StraddleSeller | No | 185.25 |
The 2026 Midterm election for the United States Senate is scheduled to occur on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate John Cornyn endorses in that election. An endorsement is defined as a public statement expressing definitive support for a candidate in a race. The statement must be made publicly (including through press releases, interviews, speeches, social media, campaign events, or other public communications) and must clearly identify the candidate and be made in the context of the race. If John Cornyn does not announce an endorsement by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Nobody". The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Cornyn and his representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting on Conryn's endorsement may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-john-cornyn-endorse-in-the-texas-senate-election
| aliiz | Yes | 160.02 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 71.2 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 69.58 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 46.61 |
| Robbb | No | 33.34 |
| thursdays | Yes | 25.2 |
| graynotebook19 | Yes | 22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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