Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | No | 1.51K | $0.129 | $1.51K | +$1.32K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 36.98 | $0.260 | $9.61 | 3h ago |
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| No |
| 2.42K |
| $0.584 |
| $1.32K |
| -$95.68 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August? | No | 1.46K | $0.821 | $1.31K | +$108.63 |
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | No | 1.65K | $0.689 | $1.13K | -$6.86 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.93K | $0.473 | $1.03K | +$118.92 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.55K | $0.309 | $857.55 | +$379.76 |
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August? | No | 936.52 | $0.839 | $791.36 | +$5.7 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 872.29 | $0.802 | $745.81 | +$45.9 |
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 600 | $0.830 | $589.2 | +$91.48 |
Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28? | No | 604.92 | $0.802 | $556.53 | +$71.43 |
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August? | No | 548.68 | $0.986 | $535.51 | -$5.65 |
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 513.37 | $0.849 | $504.39 | +$68.69 |
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%? | No | 598.21 | $0.478 | $462.72 | +$176.66 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August? | No | 878.77 | $0.585 | $448.17 | -$65.88 |
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 520.39 | $0.130 | $427.5 | +$359.86 |
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 609.79 | $0.628 | $393.31 | +$10.21 |
Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | No | 445 | $0.817 | $382.26 | +$18.76 |
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1.3K | $0.277 | $376.4 | +$16.84 |
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 421.18 | $0.643 | $345.37 | +$74.55 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 592 | $0.411 | $328.56 | +$85.01 |
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 675.16 | $0.416 | $327.45 | +$46.34 |
Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 320.75 | $0.880 | $301.51 | +$19.3 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 474.04 | $0.590 | $301.02 | +$21.34 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 302.71 | $0.900 | $294.69 | +$22.25 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | No | 550 | $0.592 | $291.5 | -$34 |
| buy |
| 18.89 |
| $0.100 |
| $1.89 |
| 4h ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 201 | $0.530 | $106.53 | 6h ago |
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in September?No | buy | 54 | $0.947 | $51.15 | 13h ago |
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?No | buy | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | 13h ago |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 20%-25%?No | buy | 27.92 | $0.920 | $25.69 | 13h ago |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 15%-20%?No | buy | 27.92 | $0.877 | $24.49 | 13h ago |
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 500 | $0.130 | $65 | 16h ago |
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23.03 | 18h ago |
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | 19h ago |
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.232 | $23.15 | 19h ago |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Yes | buy | 250.14 | $0.560 | $140.08 | 19h ago |
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.385 | $76.95 | 19h ago |
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 800 | $0.130 | $104 | 19h ago |
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 14.79 | $0.330 | $4.88 | 1d ago |
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | sell | 215 | $0.280 | $60.13 | 1d ago |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 400 | $0.480 | $192 | 1d ago |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?Yes | buy | 41.87 | $0.100 | $4.19 | 1d ago |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?Yes | buy | 41.87 | $0.017 | $0.72 | 1d ago |
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | buy | 207 | $0.102 | $21.15 | 1d ago |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | 1d ago |
Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in September?No | buy | 20.59 | $0.910 | $18.74 | 1d ago |
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in September?No | buy | 20.59 | $0.890 | $18.33 | 1d ago |
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.249 | $49.77 | 1d ago |
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 212.36 | $0.120 | $25.48 | 1d ago |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.430 | $35.26 | 1d ago |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?No | buy | 61.6 | $0.950 | $58.52 | 1d ago |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes | buy | 129.17 | $0.150 | $19.38 | 1d ago |
Will Utah Archers be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?No | buy | 0.49 | $0.900 | $0.44 | 1d ago |
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 2d ago |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.840 | $85.68 | 2d ago |
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 105.77 | $0.499 | $52.77 | 2d ago |
Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?Yes | buy | 24.48 | $0.120 | $2.94 | 2d ago |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 15%-20%?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | 2d ago |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 20%-25%?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | 2d ago |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | 2d ago |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.840 | $33.59 | 2d ago |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.560 | $22.39 | 2d ago |
Will Dee Valladares be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 9)?No | buy | 61 | $0.480 | $29.28 | 3d ago |
Will Kameron Marshall win AGT Season 21?No | buy | 10 | $0.961 | $9.61 | 3d ago |
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 212.69 | $0.270 | $57.43 | 3d ago |
Will Butter & Grit win AGT Season 21?No | buy | 31 | $0.964 | $29.87 | 3d ago |
Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?No | buy | 178 | $0.948 | $168.81 | 3d ago |
Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?No | buy | 178 | $0.740 | $131.72 | 3d ago |
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 491.23 | $0.532 | $261.39 | 3d ago |
Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.190 | $13.3 | 3d ago |
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 35.5 | $0.010 | $0.36 | 3d ago |
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.540 | $13.5 | 3d ago |
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Yes | buy | 302.08 | $0.600 | $181.25 | 3d ago |
Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.263 | $1.58 | 4d ago |