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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 24.8K | $0.500 | $22.43K | +$10.03K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 177.97 | $0.107 | $19.04 | 5h ago |
|
| No |
| 11.53K |
| $0.782 |
| $11.34K |
| +$2.32K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20.89K | $0.467 | $10.97K | +$1.2K |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 9.75K | $0.688 | $6.87K | +$162.32 |
 Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 3.9K | $0.954 | $3.74K | +$21.15 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | No | 5.8K | $0.578 | $3.22K | -$135.4 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 3.35K | $0.835 | $3.1K | +$301.54 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 3.56K | $0.764 | $3.06K | +$341.71 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 3K | $0.568 | $2.39K | +$681.09 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.45K | $0.508 | $2.38K | +$117.73 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 24.8K | $0.500 | $2.37K | -$10.03K |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | No | 842.57 | $0.820 | $766.74 | +$75.78 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August? | No | 800 | $0.879 | $692 | -$11.09 |
 Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | Yes | 571.07 | $0.764 | $468.28 | +$31.71 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 3.59K | $0.107 | $436.74 | +$51.83 |
| Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | No | 449 | $0.798 | $374.92 | +$16.47 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | No | 604.04 | $0.542 | $320.14 | -$7.59 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.7K | $0.130 | $310.5 | -$40.5 |
 Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | No | 373 | $0.233 | $253.64 | +$166.83 |
 Will Drew Campbell be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 9)? | No | 249.76 | $0.980 | $233.65 | -$11.03 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August? | No | 441 | $0.622 | $229.32 | -$45.01 |
| Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | No | 199.99 | $0.974 | $195.49 | +$0.62 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | No | 220 | $0.440 | $163.9 | +$67.02 |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 596.78 | $0.249 | $143.23 | -$5.4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.310 | $142.5 | -$12.5 |
| buy |
| 139.32 |
| $0.107 |
| $14.91 |
| 5h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 40.42 | $0.107 | $4.32 | 5h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 168.43 | $0.107 | $18.02 | 5h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 47.63 | $0.107 | $5.1 | 5h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 20.21 | $0.107 | $2.16 | 6h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 110.68 | $0.107 | $11.84 | 6h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 20.27 | $0.107 | $2.17 | 6h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 25.06 | $0.107 | $2.68 | 6h ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 44.96 | $0.849 | $38.18 | 6h ago |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.85 | $0.560 | $8.88 | 7h ago |
| Will Trump's remarks not air?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.010 | $0.28 | 7h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 92 | $0.850 | $78.18 | 7h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.107 | $134.82 | 7h ago |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.110 | $13.31 | 8h ago |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.031 | $46.5 | 8h ago |
| Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 373 | $0.233 | $86.81 | 15h ago |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?No | buy | 35.95 | $0.630 | $22.65 | 15h ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 220 | $0.440 | $96.88 | 15h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 794 | $0.979 | $777.33 | 16h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 25.05 | $0.980 | $24.55 | 16h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 181 | $0.980 | $177.38 | 16h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 2.46K | $0.981 | $2.42K | 17h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 1.32K | $0.981 | $1.29K | 18h ago |
| Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 225 | $0.110 | $24.75 | 18h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 1.97K | $0.981 | $1.93K | 19h ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?No | buy | 43.09 | $0.260 | $11.2 | 19h ago |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.290 | $1.73 | 19h ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?No | buy | 201.97 | $0.250 | $50.49 | 19h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 236 | $0.083 | $19.55 | 20h ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?No | buy | 351.72 | $0.247 | $86.93 | 20h ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?No | buy | 11.95 | $0.080 | $0.96 | 21h ago |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 21h ago |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | 22h ago |
 Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 2 | $0.270 | $0.54 | 22h ago |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | 22h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 72.72 | $0.790 | $57.45 | 22h ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?No | buy | 67 | $0.557 | $37.32 | 22h ago |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?No | buy | 7.42 | $0.080 | $0.59 | 23h ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?No | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 23h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 367.65 | $0.113 | $41.44 | 23h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 352.29 | $0.810 | $285.35 | 23h ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?No | buy | 34 | $0.540 | $18.36 | 23h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 47.99 | $0.788 | $37.83 | 1d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.104 | $1.76 | 1d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 36.25 | $0.104 | $3.77 | 1d ago |
| Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes | buy | 81.78 | $0.115 | $9.36 | 1d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 64.08 | $0.105 | $6.73 | 1d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 28.26 | $0.105 | $2.97 | 1d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 12.58 | $0.105 | $1.32 | 1d ago |