Analytics
Yes is at 3.8%, down 36 points from 39.5% when the market opened on 1 Sep 2026.
Across the 57 daily closes on record from 1 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 21 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 24 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.9%; a month before, 6.2%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 12.5% on 22 Sep 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner”.
$74.77K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $18.01K, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 450 trades, $8.14K bought Yes and $14.39K bought No; the largest was a $4.9K buy of Yes at 50.2¢.
The largest Yes position is abcdefgh123456 with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is StraddleSeller with 3.4K. Ten wallets hold 76.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 1 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Sep 2026 | 39.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| StraddleSeller | No | 3.38K |
| 101456 | No | 1.33K |
| abcdefgh123456 | Yes | 1.14K |
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/abbotsford-mission-by-election-winner
| youtube-trader |
| Yes |
| 1.11K |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 1.06K |
| alpha.chen | Yes | 930.94 |
| anoin123 | Yes | 791 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 636.62 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 509 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 488.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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