Analytics
Yes is at 3.1%, down 18 points from 21% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
The high was 21% on 30 Jul 2026 and the low 2.1% on 28 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3.5%; a month ago, 4.4%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 6.5% on 31 Jul 2026.
$4.75K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $47.31K since listing. The order book holds $90.62K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 329 trades, $1.75K bought Yes and $9.1K bought No; the largest was a $4.44K sell of No at 96.8¢.
The largest Yes position is alfredoyunes with 5.9K shares; the largest No position is Vietnam7 with 11.2K. Ten wallets hold 85% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 76 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 17, 12:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 21.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vietnam7 | No | 11.18K |
| Trashbag | No | 9K |
| alfredoyunes | Yes | 5.95K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/macron-out-in-2025
| earthStones |
| Yes |
| 5.88K |
| gloriousmachina | Yes | 4.99K |
| Agyapro | Yes | 2.65K |
| Cobalt Horizon D769 | Yes | 1.44K |
| OLOTH | No | 1.17K |
| wish- | No | 1.1K |
| Rvfleuse | Yes | 1.04K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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