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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 12.67K | $0.988 | $12.61K | +$100.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | 8h ago |
 |
| No |
| 10K |
| $0.996 |
| $10K |
| +$35 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 10K | $0.924 | $9.45K | +$212.53 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 10K | $0.911 | $9.35K | +$238.52 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 12K | $0.500 | $9.11K | +$3.11K |
| Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 7.5K | $0.989 | $7.44K | +$19.26 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 5.5K | $0.946 | $5.29K | +$86.85 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | No | 5.15K | $0.992 | $5.15K | +$41.19 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 5K | $0.962 | $4.85K | +$39.18 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5K | $0.960 | $4.8K | +$0.9 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 4.52K | $0.986 | $4.49K | +$34.42 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 4.5K | $0.987 | $4.46K | +$16.25 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 4.5K | $0.954 | $4.38K | +$80.63 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4.5K | $0.838 | $3.89K | +$122.51 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4K | $0.822 | $3.42K | +$131.78 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12K | $0.500 | $2.89K | -$3.11K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.01K | $0.710 | $2.88K | -$680.85 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 3K | $0.948 | $2.87K | +$23.81 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 3.2K | $0.854 | $2.74K | +$2.27 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.55K | $0.966 | $2.52K | +$57.87 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.920 | $2.36K | +$62.5 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.31K | $0.950 | $2.26K | +$63.52 |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | No | 2K | $0.987 | $1.99K | +$11 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.954 | $1.93K | +$25.1 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | 2.1K | $0.785 | $1.88K | +$231.64 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.976 |
| $19.52 |
| 8h ago |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | 8h ago |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?No | buy | 656 | $0.900 | $590.4 | 8h ago |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?No | buy | 320.02 | $0.525 | $167.91 | 8h ago |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25.5B by September 30?No | buy | 150 | $0.903 | $135.5 | 8h ago |
 Kash Patel out by September 30?No | sell | 124.42 | $0.969 | $120.59 | 8h ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 23.19 | $0.240 | $5.57 | 8h ago |
| Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.830 | $332 | 13h ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 166.36 | $0.950 | $158.04 | 17h ago |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | sell | 113.99 | $0.994 | $113.31 | 1d ago |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 115 | $0.870 | $100.05 | 1d ago |
| Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | sell | 500 | $0.995 | $497.5 | 1d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | sell | 243.34 | $0.973 | $236.77 | 2d ago |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $72.5B by September 30?No | buy | 112.1 | $0.950 | $106.49 | 2d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | 2d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 2d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 240.1 | $0.211 | $50.62 | 2d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 270.11 | $0.989 | $267.14 | 3d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.980 | $12.74 | 3d ago |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 313.18 | $0.952 | $298.19 | 3d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | 3d ago |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | 3d ago |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.04 | $0.964 | $8.71 | 3d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 826.02 | $0.019 | $15.42 | 4d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 400 | $0.870 | $348 | 5d ago |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.963 | $87.55 | 5d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?No | buy | 90 | $0.900 | $81 | 5d ago |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?No | buy | 35.57 | $0.940 | $33.44 | 6d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.757 | $75.7 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 215.21 | $0.985 | $211.98 | 6d ago |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40.86 | $0.800 | $32.69 | 6d ago |
 Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes | sell | 28.9 | $0.180 | $5.2 | 6d ago |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by September 30?No | buy | 57.6 | $0.748 | $43.11 | 7d ago |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $255B by September 30?No | buy | 323 | $0.940 | $303.62 | 7d ago |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $155B by September 30?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.938 | $58.63 | 7d ago |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25.5B by September 30?No | buy | 299 | $0.874 | $261.35 | 7d ago |
 Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by September 30?No | buy | 209.84 | $0.961 | $201.6 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.875T by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.875T by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 7d ago |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $72.5B by September 30?No | buy | 74.27 | $0.890 | $66.1 | 7d ago |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?No | buy | 85 | $0.947 | $80.53 | 7d ago |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No | buy | 31 | $0.850 | $26.35 | 7d ago |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No | buy | 40 | $0.860 | $34.4 | 7d ago |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No | buy | 17 | $0.850 | $14.45 | 7d ago |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?No | buy | 536 | $0.930 | $498.33 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by September 30?Yes | buy | 129.83 | $0.879 | $114.15 | 7d ago |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by August 31?No | buy | 131.95 | $0.987 | $130.29 | 8d ago |
 Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by August 31?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.989 | $10.16 | 8d ago |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by August 31?No | sell | 253.96 | $0.543 | $137.97 | 8d ago |