Latest trade
Aug 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 18, 6:39 AM UTC.
Analytics
earthStones is down $2.18K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 18, 6:39 AM UTC.
$15 median trade
Its latest 320 trades covered 95 markets; 77.2% were buys. They run from Nov 9, 2025 UTC to Aug 6, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macron out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.88K | $0.077 | $203.03 | -$253.2 |
 Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 714.4 | $0.050 | $35.72 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 04:37 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-18 06:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
320 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-18 06:39 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 16:05 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $112.23 and losing ones cost $1.33K across the latest 50 settled positions. 28% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $36.67 on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $515.64 on “Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 9 Nov 2025 and most recently on 6 Aug 2026, 72 days ago. It has traded 95 markets. Its open positions are worth $267.88 across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 3.26K |
| $0.064 |
| $22.85 |
| -$184.74 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 452.24 | $0.066 | $19.22 | -$10.78 |
 Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.55K | $0.009 | $12.42 | -$18.57 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 90.54 | $0.110 | $4.98 | -$5.02 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026? | Yes | 154.38 | $0.026 | $4.55 | +$0.55 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.43 | -$0.58 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 3.16 | $0.317 | $0.41 | -$0.6 |
| buy |
| 243.9 |
| $0.041 |
| $10 |
| Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 79.88 | $0.125 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.087 | $100 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 85.5 | $0.047 | $4 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.47 | $0.059 | $1.15 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 409.09 | $0.049 | $20 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.73 | $0.039 | $0.65 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.070 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.056 | $80 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 209.71 | $0.048 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.070 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.027 | $2.97 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 736.02 | $0.082 | $60 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 212.21 | $0.038 | $8 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 878.07 | $0.006 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.91K | $0.002 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 90.54 | $0.110 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.096 | $20 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 603.45 | $0.116 | $70 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.009 | $20 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.009 | $15 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.012 | $15 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 617.98 | $0.089 | $55 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 337.08 | $0.089 | $30 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.317 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 296.17 | $0.007 | $2 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.34K | $0.009 | $30 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.016 | $20 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.093 | $100 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 651.24 | $0.089 | $57.96 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 618.55 | $0.096 | $59.38 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 618.56 | $0.097 | $60 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 30.14K | $0.002 | $47.91 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 9.59K | $0.002 | $18.45 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.002 | $6 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 132.56 | $0.025 | $3.31 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 50.99 | $0.049 | $2.48 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.004 | $4 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | sell | 305.28 | $0.015 | $4.58 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 494.11 | $0.016 | $7.87 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 223.72 | $0.009 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 947.25 | $0.005 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 124.99 | $0.100 | $12.5 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.92K | $0.005 | $15 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.010 | $15 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 79.48 | $0.120 | $9.54 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 10.46 | $0.231 | $2.42 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.