Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 5 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 154 daily closes on record from 5 Jan 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63.5% on 9 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 29 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 50.5% on 10 Mar 2026. $1.1M traded over the market's life.
461 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 154 points, 5 Jan 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 16.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wetowl | Yes | 28.27K |
| mariana85 | Yes | 17.23K |
| jeremiahjer | Yes | 13.99K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30
| LlamaLoco0000 | Yes | 10.33K |
| Intern. | Yes | 7.55K |
| Neglected-Antibody | Yes | 6.66K |
| vk7 | Yes | 6K |
| tetrose | Yes | 4.07K |
| scienceman72 | Yes | 3.5K |
| Whimsical-Objective | Yes | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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