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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 10 | $0.830 | $9.64 | +$1.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seahawks vs. ChiefsChiefs | sell | 125.99 | $0.500 | $63 | 11d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET |
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.870 |
| $9.58 |
| +$0.88 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.793 | $9.55 | +$1.62 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.830 | $9.45 | +$1.15 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | No | 10 | $0.420 | $9.35 | +$5.15 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.877 | $9.2 | +$0.43 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10 | $0.640 | $9.2 | +$2.8 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 10 | $0.530 | $8.95 | +$3.65 |
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | No | 10 | $0.400 | $8.55 | +$4.55 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 10 | $0.790 | $8.15 | +$0.25 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 10 | $0.721 | $7.84 | +$0.63 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | $0 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.660 | $7.1 | +$0.5 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 10 | $0.620 | $7.05 | +$0.85 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.41 | $0.957 | $7.02 | -$0.08 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | Yes | 7.26 | $0.880 | $6.86 | +$0.47 |
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | No | 10 | $0.880 | $6.25 | -$2.55 |
LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE? | No | 10 | $0.260 | $6.2 | +$3.6 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | No | 10 | $0.450 | $6.1 | +$1.6 |
Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee? | No | 10 | $0.560 | $6.05 | +$0.45 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.360 | $5.75 | +$2.15 |
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | No | 9 | $0.847 | $5.7 | -$1.92 |
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | No | 10 | $0.600 | $5.65 | -$0.35 |
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | No | 10 | $0.410 | $5.55 | +$1.45 |
XRP Up or Down on September 9? | Down | 10 | $0.450 | $5.5 | +$1 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.530 |
| $2.65 |
| 17d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 17d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 19d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | 19d ago |