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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 476.65 | $0.635 | $383.7 | +$81.14 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Escorihuela vs. Bulgaru: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over | buy | 1.86 | $0.710 | $1.32 | 2m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 444.61 |
| $0.749 |
| $337.91 |
| +$4.99 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 291.35 | $0.971 | $286.25 | +$3.22 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 317.86 | $0.881 | $278.13 | -$1.83 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 269.86 | $0.918 | $268.11 | +$20.38 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 318.18 | $0.821 | $265.68 | +$4.59 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 238.55 | $0.970 | $234.38 | +$2.95 |
 Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026? | No | 248.12 | $0.958 | $233.11 | -$4.66 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 218.89 | $0.896 | $218.78 | +$22.61 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 227.51 | $0.778 | $201.35 | +$24.28 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 230.39 | $0.865 | $196.99 | -$2.26 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 247.24 | $0.770 | $196.56 | +$6.04 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 185.83 | $0.940 | $185.74 | +$11.11 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 173.72 | $0.860 | $170.24 | +$20.84 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 236.22 | $0.552 | $170.08 | +$39.76 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 178.54 | $0.778 | $163.81 | +$24.93 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 170.18 | $0.909 | $158.01 | +$3.26 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 181.78 | $0.859 | $153.6 | -$2.52 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 178.11 | $0.836 | $148.72 | -$0.11 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 169.18 | $0.751 | $134.5 | +$7.38 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 155.18 | $0.847 | $132.68 | +$1.27 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | No | 116.96 | $0.900 | $116.9 | +$11.64 |
 Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | No | 171.02 | $0.930 | $108.25 | -$50.88 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 121.31 | $0.791 | $107.36 | +$11.38 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | No | 112.22 | $0.863 | $102.68 | +$5.87 |
| buy |
| 2.39 |
| $0.540 |
| $1.29 |
| 3m ago |
 Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.900 | $0.08 | 6m ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.36 | $0.770 | $1.82 | 9m ago |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 12.24 | $0.420 | $5.14 | 9m ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No | buy | 3.42 | $0.860 | $2.94 | 9m ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 31.71 | $0.750 | $23.78 | 10m ago |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?No | buy | 29.05 | $0.800 | $23.24 | 10m ago |
 Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BFURIA | buy | 1.58 | $0.790 | $1.25 | 11m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.680 | $5.79 | 12m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 2.69 | $0.640 | $1.72 | 12m ago |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BFURIA | buy | 4.8 | $0.790 | $3.79 | 12m ago |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.300 | $0.04 | 12m ago |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.830 | $1.93 | 12m ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.490 | $0.56 | 13m ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 9?Yes | buy | 13.49 | $0.999 | $13.48 | 13m ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.94 | $0.830 | $1.61 | 13m ago |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.32 | $0.840 | $3.63 | 13m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.94 | $0.820 | $1.59 | 13m ago |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BFURIA | buy | 3.07 | $0.820 | $2.52 | 16m ago |
 Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Yes | buy | 1.74 | $0.820 | $1.43 | 16m ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 26.58 | $0.820 | $21.8 | 17m ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 9?Yes | buy | 13.45 | $0.998 | $13.42 | 19m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 0.32 | $0.740 | $0.24 | 19m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 0.35 | $0.740 | $0.26 | 19m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.740 | $0.02 | 19m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 0.62 | $0.740 | $0.46 | 19m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.740 | $0.05 | 19m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 26.04 | $0.760 | $19.79 | 19m ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 3.68 | $0.040 | $0.15 | 20m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.520 | $1.4 | 25m ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes | buy | 24.6 | $0.200 | $4.92 | 25m ago |
 Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI - Game 1 WinnerHULIGANI | sell | 2.96 | $0.999 | $2.96 | 29m ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | sell | 15.4 | $0.995 | $15.32 | 30m ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.84 | $0.630 | $3.68 | 34m ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.860 | $1.22 | 35m ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.600 | $3.3 | 36m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.420 | $0.5 | 40m ago |
| Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.963 | $4.88 | 41m ago |
| Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?No | buy | 14.67 | $0.968 | $14.2 | 42m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.410 | $0.49 | 42m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.440 | $0.53 | 42m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.440 | $0.53 | 43m ago |
 Will Xaykham Khamsyvoravong be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee?No | buy | 5.98 | $0.550 | $3.29 | 44m ago |
 Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.76 | $0.880 | $0.67 | 47m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.590 | $1.73 | 48m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.83 | $0.610 | $1.12 | 49m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.520 | $0.02 | 49m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.520 | $0.26 | 49m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.780 | $2.48 | 49m ago |