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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 3.89 | $0.257 | $3.65 | +$2.65 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.48 |
| $0.808 |
| $2.16 |
| +$0.16 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 2.42 | $0.828 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1.96 | +$0.96 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 1.88 | $0.803 | $1.49 | -$0.02 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | No | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | No | 1.2 | $0.834 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 1.17 | $0.859 | $1.1 | +$0.09 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? | Up | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 2.42 |
| $0.828 |
| $2 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.740 | $1.04 | 2d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 4d ago |
 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | 5d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 1.86 | $0.770 | $1.43 | 5d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 3.73 | $0.770 | $2.87 | 5d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.940 | $1.14 | 12d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.490 | $1.96 | 12d ago |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.941 | $1.42 | 17d ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 24d ago |
 OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 24d ago |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.735 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.640 | $1.14 | 24d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Aug 13, 2026 |