Latest trade
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 9:06 PM UTC.
Analytics
Rumpelstiltskin has made $25.83K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-13 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 9:06 PM UTC.
$161.32 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 25 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Oct 4, 2026 UTC to Oct 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 4.86K | $0.679 | $4.1K | +$798.87 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$16.93K | $66.12K | 917 | 146 | 33.6% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.760 | $1.76K | 6d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-13 18:56 UTC
Polymarket public position response
28 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 21:06 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 21:06 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-13 18:56 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $50.52K and losing ones cost $7.59K across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.78K on “Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $1.29K on “Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 8 Mar 2025 and most recently on 20 Oct 2026. It has traded 242 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($66.12K). Its open positions are worth $16.81K across 28 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.32K |
| $0.760 |
| $2.14K |
| +$371.36 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 1.71K | $0.727 | $1.55K | +$313.48 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.47K | $0.520 | $1.37K | -$3.56K |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.12K | $0.683 | $1.03K | +$266.04 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.01K | $0.796 | $993.77 | +$188.01 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 1K | $0.929 | $975.5 | +$46.5 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 2.62K | $0.400 | $941.83 | -$104.64 |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026? | No | 930.87 | $0.757 | $767.97 | +$62.83 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 1.46K | $0.495 | $694.99 | -$29.56 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.44K | $0.766 | $664.72 | -$439.19 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 443.88 | $0.265 | $344.01 | +$226.2 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 1.57K | $0.320 | $219.28 | -$281.93 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 220 | $0.180 | $215.49 | +$175.89 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.51K | $0.265 | $155.62 | -$510.08 |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026? | No | 306.51 | $0.550 | $142.53 | -$26.17 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 256 | $0.370 | $89.6 | -$5.12 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 403.45 | $0.219 | $89.57 | +$1.21 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 160.73 | $0.845 | $85.99 | -$49.82 |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.195 | $72 | -$6 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 225.26 | $0.460 | $58.57 | -$45.05 |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026? | No | 65.42 | $0.450 | $51.35 | +$21.92 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.05K | $0.193 | $33.81 | -$361.16 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.81K | $0.026 | $9.98 | -$36.93 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | 5.96 | $0.540 | $4.41 | +$1.19 |
| buy |
| 312.29 |
| $0.516 |
| $161.02 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 481.53 | $0.710 | $341.89 | 7d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 245.94 | $0.302 | $74.28 | 7d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?No | buy | 190.17 | $0.925 | $175.89 | 7d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.570 | $575.6 | 7d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.640 | $70.4 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 447.9 | $0.316 | $141.54 | 7d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 767.53 | $0.356 | $273.46 | 8d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 2.44K | $0.775 | $1.89K | 8d ago |
 Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes | buy | 159.88 | $0.920 | $147.09 | 10d ago |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes | buy | 604.98 | $0.920 | $556.58 | 10d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 314.51 | $0.588 | $184.97 | 13d ago |
| Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 723.7 | $0.100 | $72.37 | 13d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 723.7 | $0.133 | $95.96 | 13d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.026 | $49.06 | 13d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.420 | $432.84 | 13d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 2.62K | $0.400 | $1.05K | 13d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 702.73 | $0.720 | $506.13 | 13d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 203.38 | $0.318 | $64.68 | 13d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.160 | $48 | 13d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 970 | $0.187 | $181.1 | 13d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 3.22K | $0.691 | $2.22K | 13d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.786 | $1.05K | 13d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 230.38 | $0.285 | $65.59 | 13d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 543 | $0.210 | $114.03 | 13d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 310.11 | $0.695 | $215.65 | 13d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 311.74 | $0.850 | $264.98 | 13d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 388.27 | $0.206 | $79.98 | 13d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 956.27 | $0.913 | $872.93 | 13d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.790 | $394.99 | 13d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 908.55 | $0.766 | $695.9 | 13d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.85K | $0.778 | $2.22K | 13d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 149.21 | $0.110 | $16.41 | 17d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 568.81 | $0.110 | $62.57 | 17d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.330 | $132 | 17d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No | buy | 396.75 | $0.407 | $161.62 | 17d ago |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?No | sell | 229.12 | $0.856 | $196.05 | 20d ago |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?No | buy | 12.67 | $0.540 | $6.84 | 20d ago |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.540 | $21.6 | 20d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 3.27K | $0.669 | $2.19K | 20d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 296 | $0.230 | $68.08 | 21d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.240 | $480 | 21d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?No | buy | 2.88K | $0.910 | $2.62K | 22d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.910 | $10.11 | 22d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | 22d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?No | buy | 64 | $0.910 | $58.24 | 22d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.910 | $1.82 | 22d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 22d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.