Analytics
Rumpelstiltskin has made $25.83K on Polymarket, #6,463 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 4.86K | $0.679 | $4.12K | +$813.46 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 18:28 UTC
Polymarket public position response
28 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 21:42 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 21:42 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-13 18:56 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $50.52K and losing ones cost $7.59K across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.78K on “Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $1.29K on “Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 242 markets. Its open positions are worth $16.74K across 28 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.32K |
| $0.760 |
| $2.14K |
| +$371.36 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 1.71K | $0.727 | $1.55K | +$313.48 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.47K | $0.520 | $1.42K | -$3.51K |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.12K | $0.683 | $999.4 | +$232.36 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.01K | $0.796 | $992.76 | +$187 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 1K | $0.929 | $976.5 | +$47.5 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 2.62K | $0.400 | $941.83 | -$104.64 |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026? | No | 930.87 | $0.757 | $767.97 | +$62.83 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 1.46K | $0.495 | $694.99 | -$29.56 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.44K | $0.766 | $560.29 | -$543.62 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 443.88 | $0.265 | $344.01 | +$226.2 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 1.57K | $0.320 | $219.28 | -$281.93 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 220 | $0.180 | $215.27 | +$175.67 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.51K | $0.265 | $158.13 | -$507.57 |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026? | No | 306.51 | $0.550 | $141 | -$27.7 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 403.45 | $0.219 | $90.37 | +$2.02 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 256 | $0.370 | $89.6 | -$5.12 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 160.73 | $0.845 | $85.99 | -$49.82 |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.195 | $74 | -$4 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 225.26 | $0.460 | $57.44 | -$46.18 |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026? | No | 65.42 | $0.450 | $52.66 | +$23.22 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.05K | $0.193 | $34.83 | -$360.14 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.81K | $0.026 | $9.98 | -$36.93 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 214.67 | $0.240 | $4.51 | -$47.01 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
