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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 468 | $0.570 | $245.7 | -$21.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.129 | $2.58 | 46m ago |
 |
| No |
| 234 |
| $0.910 |
| $218.79 |
| +$5.85 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 171 | $0.890 | $167.84 | +$15.69 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 156 | $0.920 | $145.86 | +$2.34 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 156 | $0.900 | $144.3 | +$3.88 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 160.48 | $0.883 | $139.94 | -$1.86 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 160 | $0.818 | $125.6 | -$5.28 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 234 | $0.508 | $125.19 | +$6.39 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 156 | $0.768 | $124.02 | +$4.2 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 210 | $0.560 | $116.55 | -$1.05 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 233.99 | $0.526 | $108.81 | -$14.21 |
 Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | Yes | 123.99 | $0.860 | $108.49 | +$1.86 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 125 | $0.840 | $107.5 | +$2.5 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 124.57 | $0.834 | $104.64 | +$0.76 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $97.5 | +$5.5 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 117 | $0.762 | $93.6 | +$4.47 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 117 | $0.790 | $88.34 | -$4.09 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 155.99 | $0.530 | $86.58 | +$3.9 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 156 | $0.507 | $81.9 | +$2.86 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 124.9 | $0.583 | $81.81 | +$8.94 |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 93 | $0.800 | $78.59 | +$4.19 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 124 | $0.510 | $77.5 | +$14.26 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 78 | $0.910 | $75.78 | +$4.8 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 92.99 | $0.730 | $72.53 | +$4.63 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 117 | $0.613 | $70.2 | -$1.56 |
| sell |
| 5.81 |
| $0.710 |
| $4.13 |
| 4h ago |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No | sell | 29 | $0.350 | $10.15 | 4h ago |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.280 | $5.88 | 6h ago |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 23.45 | $0.590 | $13.84 | 6h ago |
| Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 6h ago |
| Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.290 | $2.03 | 6h ago |
| Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 6h ago |
| Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 7h ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?No | buy | 78 | $0.850 | $66.3 | 7h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 15 | $0.900 | $13.5 | 7h ago |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 118 | $0.565 | $66.67 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.540 | $21.06 | 8h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 390 | $0.650 | $253.5 | 8h ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.084 | $1.94 | 8h ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.200 | $4.6 | 9h ago |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 32 | $0.720 | $23.04 | 9h ago |
| Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.710 | $22.01 | 9h ago |
| Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.770 | $23.87 | 9h ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.780 | $35.88 | 9h ago |
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.087 | $4.45 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 30 | $0.590 | $17.7 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 141.63 | $0.400 | $56.65 | 10h ago |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.500 | $10.5 | 10h ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.500 | $17 | 10h ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 10h ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.440 | $6.16 | 10h ago |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 91 | $0.770 | $70.07 | 11h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 156 | $0.140 | $21.84 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.650 | $50.7 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 5.91 | $0.590 | $3.49 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 114 | $0.470 | $53.58 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 3 | $0.470 | $1.41 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 19 | $0.470 | $8.93 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 218 | $0.680 | $148.24 | 11h ago |
| Antoine Semenyo: Anytime GoalscorerYes | buy | 25 | $0.290 | $7.25 | 11h ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.340 | $26.52 | 12h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 12h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 35 | $0.630 | $22.05 | 12h ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.380 | $5.7 | 13h ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.500 | $19.5 | 13h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | 14h ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 125 | $0.910 | $113.75 | 14h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 15 | $0.870 | $13.05 | 15h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.510 | $3.06 | 15h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.500 | $7 | 16h ago |
 Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | 16h ago |